Market icon
Политика·Давос

Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?

Market icon
Политика·Давос

Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?

$2,793,382 Объем

Feb 28, 2026
Polymarket

$2,793,382 Объем

Polymarket

Бразилия

$29,212 Объем

5%

Индия

$45,985 Объем

3%

Италия

$194,656 Объем

2%

Бельгия

$37,566 Объем

1%

Франция

$62,719 Объем

1%

Испания

$100,131 Объем

1%

Швеция

$225,247 Объем

1%

Финляндия

$577,856 Объем

1%

Германия

$93,920 Объем

1%

Россия

$273,623 Объем

1%

Дания

$343,292 Объем

1%

Нидерланды

$0 Объем

1%

Швейцария

$50,063 Объем

1%

Норвегия

$288,848 Объем

<1%

Палестина

$43,658 Объем

<1%

Великобритания

$125,505 Объем

<1%

Китай

$119,249 Объем

<1%

Украина

$79,066 Объем

<1%

Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus shaped by broader geopolitical alignments and diplomatic signals rather than specific announcements. The initiative lacks clear definition in public reporting, with no official statements from potential member states or organizing bodies like the UN or regional alliances. Traders may weigh factors such as ongoing multilateral talks, sanctions, or foreign policy shifts in active conflicts, but uncertainty persists absent primary source confirmations. Upcoming diplomatic summits or bilateral negotiations could catalyze movement, though constitutional or procedural barriers in participating nations remain unaddressed.

No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus shaped by broader geopolitical alignments and diplomatic signals rather than specific announcements. The initiative lacks clear definition in public reporting, with no official statements from potential member states or organizing bodies like the UN or regional alliances. Traders may weigh factors such as ongoing multilateral talks, sanctions, or foreign policy shifts in active conflicts, but uncertainty persists absent primary source confirmations. Upcoming diplomatic summits or bilateral negotiations could catalyze movement, though constitutional or procedural barriers in participating nations remain unaddressed.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Donald Trump and the United States recently sent invitations to countries around the world, inviting them to join the US-led Board of Peace which will oversee conflict resolution in Gaza and elsewhere (see: https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/us-names-rubio-blair-kushner-gaza-board-under-trumps-plan-2026-01-17/). This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed country joins the Board of Peace by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A country will be considered to have joined the Board of Peace if either of the following conditions are met: - That country's government publicly and definitively announces that the country will join the Board of Peace as a founding member, permanent member, or as any other type of member state. - Official information from the country’s government or a consensus of credible reporting demonstrates that the listed country has formally joined the Board of Peace (e.g. an authorized representative has signed the charter of the Board of Peace). Only statements or announcements which are definitive in their expression of intent to join the Board of Peace will qualify (e.g. “we agree to join the board of peace,” “we accepted an invitation to the board of peace,” etc.). Statements which are not definitive in their expression of intent to join (e.g. “we agree in principle”, “we will join pending further details”, “we are ready to do our part in working for the reconstruction of Gaza” etc.) will not count. Qualifying announcements within this market’s timeframe will count regardless of when the relevant country intends to join the board of peace, or whether or not they ultimately join. Statements from Donald Trump or the US government will not alone qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the listed country; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus shaped by broader geopolitical alignments and diplomatic signals rather than specific announcements. The initiative lacks clear definition in public reporting, with no official statements from potential member states or organizing bodies like the UN or regional alliances. Traders may weigh factors such as ongoing multilateral talks, sanctions, or foreign policy shifts in active conflicts, but uncertainty persists absent primary source confirmations. Upcoming diplomatic summits or bilateral negotiations could catalyze movement, though constitutional or procedural barriers in participating nations remain unaddressed.

No notable developments have occurred in the past 30 days regarding countries joining the Board of Peace by March 31, leaving trader consensus shaped by broader geopolitical alignments and diplomatic signals rather than specific announcements. The initiative lacks clear definition in public reporting, with no official statements from potential member states or organizing bodies like the UN or regional alliances. Traders may weigh factors such as ongoing multilateral talks, sanctions, or foreign policy shifts in active conflicts, but uncertainty persists absent primary source confirmations. Upcoming diplomatic summits or bilateral negotiations could catalyze movement, though constitutional or procedural barriers in participating nations remain unaddressed.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 21 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Израиль» с 100%, за ним следует «Турция» с 100%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 100¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $2.8 million с момента запуска рынка Jan 21, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?», просмотри 21 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» — «Израиль» с 100%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 100%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Турция» с 100%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Какие страны присоединятся к Совету мира к 31 марта?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.