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Технологии·AI

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

Market icon
Технологии·AI

Which company has the second best AI model end of April?

апр. 30

июн. 30

апр. 30

июн. 30

Anthropic 87%

Google 7%

OpenAI 2.5%

DeepSeek 2.4%

Polymarket

$21,899 Объем

Anthropic 87%

Google 7%

OpenAI 2.5%

DeepSeek 2.4%

Polymarket

$21,899 Объем

Market icon

Anthropic

$3,101 Объем

87%

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Google

$3,962 Объем

7%

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OpenAI

$1,778 Объем

2%

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DeepSeek

$1,892 Объем

2%

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Alibaba

$1,545 Объем

1%

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ByteDance

$1,124 Объем

1%

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Meituan

$1,497 Объем

1%

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xAI

$1,264 Объем

1%

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Amazon

$1,099 Объем

1%

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Z.ai

$1,344 Объем

<1%

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Mistral

$1,096 Объем

<1%

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Moonshot

$1,119 Объем

<1%

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Baidu

$1,077 Объем

<1%

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at an 86.5% implied probability for fielding the second-best AI model by end of April, driven by the latest LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard as of March 31, where Claude Opus 4.6 holds the #2 spot at 1500 Elo—trailing only its own "thinking" variant at #1—while outperforming Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (#3, 1494 Elo) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 high (#6). Recent March releases, including Anthropic's Opus 4.6 upgrades emphasizing reasoning and low hallucinations, have solidified this positioning amid intense competition, though Google's preview narrowed the gap. Traders eye potential April launches from xAI's Grok or DeepSeek as low-probability disruptors before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$21,899
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Anthropic at an 86.5% implied probability for fielding the second-best AI model by end of April, driven by the latest LMArena Chatbot Arena text leaderboard as of March 31, where Claude Opus 4.6 holds the #2 spot at 1500 Elo—trailing only its own "thinking" variant at #1—while outperforming Google's Gemini 3.1 Pro Preview (#3, 1494 Elo) and OpenAI's GPT-5.4 high (#6). Recent March releases, including Anthropic's Opus 4.6 upgrades emphasizing reasoning and low hallucinations, have solidified this positioning amid intense competition, though Google's preview narrowed the gap. Traders eye potential April launches from xAI's Grok or DeepSeek as low-probability disruptors before resolution.

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.

Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.

The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
Объем
$21,899
Дата окончания
30 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Mar 20, 2026, 4:21 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the second-highest arena score based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on April 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ranked primarily by their arena score at this market’s check time, with alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group used as a tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Which company has the second best AI model end of April?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 13 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Anthropic» с 87%, за ним следует «Google» с 7%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 87¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Which company has the second best AI model end of April?» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $21.9K с момента запуска рынка Mar 20, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Which company has the second best AI model end of April?», просмотри 13 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Which company has the second best AI model end of April?» — «Anthropic» с 87%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 87%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Google» с 7%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Which company has the second best AI model end of April?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.