Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations amid ongoing military escalation and irreconcilable preconditions like Moscow's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and dismissal of Zelenskyy's legitimacy. Zelenskyy's April 4, 2026, Istanbul visit with Erdoğan—following the Turkish leader's tenth pitch for an "Istanbul format"—signaled Kyiv's openness to direct talks anywhere, including Moscow, modestly boosting Turkey's odds to 2.6% as the top venue alternative. US at 2.2% lingers from prior trilateral talk floats, while Qatar/UAE (1.8%) nods to earlier Abu Dhabi suggestions, but deep mistrust, lack of agreed summits, and no Russian reciprocity sustain skepticism despite Zelenskyy's repeated diplomatic overtures since January.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНет встречи до 2027 года 81%
Turkey 2.6%
США 2.2%
Катар / ОАЭ 1.8%
$1,893,253 Объем
$1,893,253 Объем

Нет встречи до 2027 года
81%

Turkey
3%

США
2%

Катар / ОАЭ
2%

Саудовская Аравия
2%

Венгрия
2%

Россия
1%

Switzerland
1%

Беларусь
1%

Китай
1%

Индия
1%

Италия / Ватикан
1%

Украина
1%

Казахстан
1%
Нет встречи до 2027 года 81%
Turkey 2.6%
США 2.2%
Катар / ОАЭ 1.8%
$1,893,253 Объем
$1,893,253 Объем

Нет встречи до 2027 года
81%

Turkey
3%

США
2%

Катар / ОАЭ
2%

Саудовская Аравия
2%

Венгрия
2%

Россия
1%

Switzerland
1%

Беларусь
1%

Китай
1%

Индия
1%

Италия / Ватикан
1%

Украина
1%

Казахстан
1%
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 6, 2025, 10:49 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A meeting is defined as any encounter where Zelenskyy and Putin are both present and interact with each other in person.
For the purpose of this market, a meeting held on Ukrainian territory under the de facto control of Russia (e.g., Crimea) will be considered part of Russia.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors no Zelenskyy-Putin meeting before 2027 at 80.5%, reflecting stalled Ukraine-Russia peace negotiations amid ongoing military escalation and irreconcilable preconditions like Moscow's demands for Ukrainian territorial concessions in Donbas and dismissal of Zelenskyy's legitimacy. Zelenskyy's April 4, 2026, Istanbul visit with Erdoğan—following the Turkish leader's tenth pitch for an "Istanbul format"—signaled Kyiv's openness to direct talks anywhere, including Moscow, modestly boosting Turkey's odds to 2.6% as the top venue alternative. US at 2.2% lingers from prior trilateral talk floats, while Qatar/UAE (1.8%) nods to earlier Abu Dhabi suggestions, but deep mistrust, lack of agreed summits, and no Russian reciprocity sustain skepticism despite Zelenskyy's repeated diplomatic overtures since January.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы