Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 7-14, with 280-299 leading at 14.5% implied probability, mirroring his sustained March cadence of over 42 posts daily (1,340+ total) and prior weekly resolutions like 200-239 and 260-279 ranges. This competitive spread captures inherent volatility in his pop culture firehose—fueled by real-time replies to viral political discourse, AI debates, and memes—without major catalysts locked in yet. Key swing factors include SpaceX's NG-24 launch April 8 and Starlink mission April 9, which historically amplify live updates and fan engagement; downside risks from travel or xAI focus could dip toward 220-259. No seismic shifts in the past week, but weekend activity signals steady momentum ahead of chart lock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено280-299 15%
260-279 14%
240-259 13%
300–319 12%
$514,315 Объем
$514,315 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180–199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
13%
260-279
14%
280-299
15%
300–319
12%
320-339
11%
340–359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
2%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
280-299 15%
260-279 14%
240-259 13%
300–319 12%
$514,315 Объем
$514,315 Объем
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180–199
2%
200-219
4%
220-239
9%
240-259
13%
260-279
14%
280-299
15%
300–319
12%
320-339
11%
340–359
9%
360-379
7%
380-399
5%
400-419
2%
420-439
2%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 4, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Источник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-319 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 7-14, with 280-299 leading at 14.5% implied probability, mirroring his sustained March cadence of over 42 posts daily (1,340+ total) and prior weekly resolutions like 200-239 and 260-279 ranges. This competitive spread captures inherent volatility in his pop culture firehose—fueled by real-time replies to viral political discourse, AI debates, and memes—without major catalysts locked in yet. Key swing factors include SpaceX's NG-24 launch April 8 and Starlink mission April 9, which historically amplify live updates and fan engagement; downside risks from travel or xAI focus could dip toward 220-259. No seismic shifts in the past week, but weekend activity signals steady momentum ahead of chart lock.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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