Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward April 8 (27%) for the first eaglet emergence from Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam nest in Traverse City, Michigan, driven by the lead egg's March 2 lay date aligning with a standard 35-38 day incubation yielding hatches around April 6-9. Recent smooth parental switches on April 2 amid rainy conditions signal robust egg health with no delays, sustaining momentum without pips yet spotted. The closely contested field—April 9 at 24.5%, April 7 at 18%—highlights pip timing uncertainty and the 24-72 hour hatch process, as livestream viewers anticipate breakthrough visuals any hour on the 24/7 feed, potentially swinging odds dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоWhen will the first eaglet hatch?
When will the first eaglet hatch?
April 8 27%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 11%
НОВОЕ
$48,991 Объем
НОВОЕ
$48,991 Объем
16 апр. 2026 г.
April 3
<1%
April 4
3%
April 5
2%
April 6
6%
April 7
18%
April 8
27%
April 9
25%
April 10
11%
April 11
5%
April 12
3%
April 13
1%
April 14
1%
April 15
<1%
April 16
1%
No Hatch before April 17
6%
April 8 27%
April 9 25%
April 7 18%
April 10 11%
НОВОЕ
$48,991 Объем
НОВОЕ
$48,991 Объем
16 апр. 2026 г.
April 3
$1,755 Объем
<1%
April 4
$10,788 Объем
3%
April 5
$4,524 Объем
2%
April 6
$3,290 Объем
6%
April 7
$4,535 Объем
18%
April 8
$1,469 Объем
27%
April 9
$2,668 Объем
25%
April 10
$2,313 Объем
11%
April 11
$2,788 Объем
5%
April 12
$1,888 Объем
3%
April 13
$2,584 Объем
1%
April 14
$1,272 Объем
1%
April 15
$1,003 Объем
<1%
April 16
$1,198 Объем
1%
No Hatch before April 17
$6,917 Объем
6%
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward April 8 (27%) for the first eaglet emergence from Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam nest in Traverse City, Michigan, driven by the lead egg's March 2 lay date aligning with a standard 35-38 day incubation yielding hatches around April 6-9. Recent smooth parental switches on April 2 amid rainy conditions signal robust egg health with no delays, sustaining momentum without pips yet spotted. The closely contested field—April 9 at 24.5%, April 7 at 18%—highlights pip timing uncertainty and the 24-72 hour hatch process, as livestream viewers anticipate breakthrough visuals any hour on the 24/7 feed, potentially swinging odds dramatically.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Объем
$48,991Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward April 8 (27%) for the first eaglet emergence from Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam nest in Traverse City, Michigan, driven by the lead egg's March 2 lay date aligning with a standard 35-38 day incubation yielding hatches around April 6-9. Recent smooth parental switches on April 2 amid rainy conditions signal robust egg health with no delays, sustaining momentum without pips yet spotted. The closely contested field—April 9 at 24.5%, April 7 at 18%—highlights pip timing uncertainty and the 24-72 hour hatch process, as livestream viewers anticipate breakthrough visuals any hour on the 24/7 feed, potentially swinging odds dramatically.
The Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam (Cam 1: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY, Cam 2: https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius) displays a livestream of a wild Bald Eagle nest in Traverse City, Michigan, with three incubating eggs.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which the first eaglet hatches in this nest.
“Hatch” is defined as the first moment an eaglet is visibly fully emerged from its shell. A pip (first shell crack) or partial emergence will not qualify.
If no eaglet hatches by April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17”.
The timing of a qualifying hatch will be determined based on the live timestamps available on the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestreams.
The resolution sources for this market will be the Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam livestream of the nest in Traverse City, Michigan, available at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=vMW-S6ZoYgY & https://www.youtube.com/live/rWQEKZGcius.
This market will resolve solely based on qualifying hatches verified through the livestreams. If both livestreams are unavailable due to an outage or other technical issue, and either stream later returns to show that a qualifying hatch occurred while they were down, this market will resolve to the calendar date (ET) on which the livestream returns. If both livestreams remain unavailable through April 16, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Hatch before April 17,” regardless of whether a qualifying hatch occurred while the livestreams were unavailable.
All proceeds from this market will be donated to the American Bald Eagle Foundation (https://baldeagles.org/).
Tampering with a bald eagle nest, eggs, or eaglets is a federal crime under the Bald and Golden Eagle Protection Act (16 U.S.C. § 668). Penalties include up to $100,000 in fines and one year imprisonment for a first offense. Polymarket will cooperate fully with law enforcement in any investigation of nest interference. Polymarket reserves the right to void any market if there is credible evidence of coordinated manipulation or external interference with the nest.
Объем
$48,991Дата окончания
16 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward April 8 (27%) for the first eaglet emergence from Harry and Harriet's viral Great Lakes Bald Eagle Cam nest in Traverse City, Michigan, driven by the lead egg's March 2 lay date aligning with a standard 35-38 day incubation yielding hatches around April 6-9. Recent smooth parental switches on April 2 amid rainy conditions signal robust egg health with no delays, sustaining momentum without pips yet spotted. The closely contested field—April 9 at 24.5%, April 7 at 18%—highlights pip timing uncertainty and the 24-72 hour hatch process, as livestream viewers anticipate breakthrough visuals any hour on the 24/7 feed, potentially swinging odds dramatically.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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