Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 4-6, 2026, reflecting a projected moderation from his recent 34 tweets-per-day average (241 total posts March 27-April 3 per XTracker data), amid bursts tied to company announcements like Tesla's Q1 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles on April 2 and xAI's Grok Imagine upgrade revealed April 3. The 40-64 range (26.5%) trails closely, capturing expectations of weekend lulls in Musk's signature high-volume social media engagement, known for waves of viral reposts, quotes, and main feed updates on tech, politics, and culture. Higher buckets like 90-114 (22.5%) fade due to historical patterns showing post-event dips, with resolution at April 6, 12:00 PM ET via XTracker counts of countable post types.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено65-89 37%
40-64 27%
90-114 23%
115-139 9%
НОВОЕ
$65,907 Объем
НОВОЕ
$65,907 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
<40
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
37%
90-114
23%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 37%
40-64 27%
90-114 23%
115-139 9%
НОВОЕ
$65,907 Объем
НОВОЕ
$65,907 Объем
6 апр. 2026 г.
<40
$5,484 Объем
4%
40-64
$2,788 Объем
27%
65-89
$893 Объем
37%
90-114
$1,461 Объем
23%
115-139
$2,161 Объем
9%
140-164
$3,308 Объем
2%
165-189
$7,127 Объем
1%
190-214
$6,016 Объем
<1%
215-239
$16,614 Объем
<1%
240+
$20,055 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 4-6, 2026, reflecting a projected moderation from his recent 34 tweets-per-day average (241 total posts March 27-April 3 per XTracker data), amid bursts tied to company announcements like Tesla's Q1 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles on April 2 and xAI's Grok Imagine upgrade revealed April 3. The 40-64 range (26.5%) trails closely, capturing expectations of weekend lulls in Musk's signature high-volume social media engagement, known for waves of viral reposts, quotes, and main feed updates on tech, politics, and culture. Higher buckets like 90-114 (22.5%) fade due to historical patterns showing post-event dips, with resolution at April 6, 12:00 PM ET via XTracker counts of countable post types.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ET
Объем
$65,907Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 4-6, 2026, reflecting a projected moderation from his recent 34 tweets-per-day average (241 total posts March 27-April 3 per XTracker data), amid bursts tied to company announcements like Tesla's Q1 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles on April 2 and xAI's Grok Imagine upgrade revealed April 3. The 40-64 range (26.5%) trails closely, capturing expectations of weekend lulls in Musk's signature high-volume social media engagement, known for waves of viral reposts, quotes, and main feed updates on tech, politics, and culture. Higher buckets like 90-114 (22.5%) fade due to historical patterns showing post-event dips, with resolution at April 6, 12:00 PM ET via XTracker counts of countable post types.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 4 12:00 PM ET to April 6, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Объем
$65,907Дата окончания
6 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 12:22 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices 65-89 tweets (36.5% implied probability) as the frontrunner for Elon Musk's X activity from April 4-6, 2026, reflecting a projected moderation from his recent 34 tweets-per-day average (241 total posts March 27-April 3 per XTracker data), amid bursts tied to company announcements like Tesla's Q1 delivery report of 358,023 vehicles on April 2 and xAI's Grok Imagine upgrade revealed April 3. The 40-64 range (26.5%) trails closely, capturing expectations of weekend lulls in Musk's signature high-volume social media engagement, known for waves of viral reposts, quotes, and main feed updates on tech, politics, and culture. Higher buckets like 90-114 (22.5%) fade due to historical patterns showing post-event dips, with resolution at April 6, 12:00 PM ET via XTracker counts of countable post types.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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