Market icon
Политика·Трамп

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Market icon
Политика·Трамп

Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?

Taylor Rogers 31%

Anna Kelly 25%

Donald Trump 19%

Brooke Rollins 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Taylor Rogers 31%

Anna Kelly 25%

Donald Trump 19%

Brooke Rollins 19%

Polymarket
НОВОЕ

Taylor Rogers

$600 Объем

31%

Anna Kelly

$0 Объем

25%

Donald Trump

$0 Объем

19%

Brooke Rollins

$0 Объем

19%

Liz Huston

$0 Объем

18%

Erika Kirk

$0 Объем

16%

Peter Hegseth

$0 Объем

14%

Linda McMahon

$0 Объем

12%

Scott Bessent

$0 Объем

11%

Stephen Miller

$0 Объем

10%

Susie Wiles

$0 Объем

10%

JD Vance

$0 Объем

10%

Abigail Jackson

$0 Объем

10%

Tom Homan

$0 Объем

10%

Marco Rubio

$2 Объем

8%

Howard Lutnick

$0 Объем

6%

Pamela Bondi

$0 Объем

6%

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Karoline Leavitt's impending maternity leave in May, following her March baby shower announcement, anchors trader consensus on her top deputies as the first substitute White House Press Secretary, with principal deputy Anna Kelly holding a slim 30% implied probability edge over assistant Taylor Rogers at 27%. The tight clustering among press office staff like Liz Huston (18.5%) and Erika Kirk (15.5%), alongside Trump insiders such as Donald Trump (19%) and Brooke Rollins (18%), reflects uncertainty without an official acting designation amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. Recent cabinet shakeups, including Pam Bondi's ouster, heighten speculation on surprises, but an announcement or Leavitt's first absence could swiftly separate frontrunners via White House confirmation or briefing assignment.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Объем
$602
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.Karoline Leavitt's impending maternity leave in May, following her March baby shower announcement, anchors trader consensus on her top deputies as the first substitute White House Press Secretary, with principal deputy Anna Kelly holding a slim 30% implied probability edge over assistant Taylor Rogers at 27%. The tight clustering among press office staff like Liz Huston (18.5%) and Erika Kirk (15.5%), alongside Trump insiders such as Donald Trump (19%) and Brooke Rollins (18%), reflects uncertainty without an official acting designation amid Leavitt's ongoing briefings through late March. Recent cabinet shakeups, including Pam Bondi's ouster, heighten speculation on surprises, but an announcement or Leavitt's first absence could swiftly separate frontrunners via White House confirmation or briefing assignment.

This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave.

This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify.

This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.
Объем
$602
Дата окончания
31 мая 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 7:31 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the listed individual who hosts the first White House Press Briefing after Karoline Leavitt goes on leave. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Karoline Leavitt's leave is not announced, this market will resolve according to the next individual excepting Karoline Leavitt who hosts a White House Press Briefing as listed on the official schedule. If Karoline Leavitt does not go on leave, or if no White House Press Briefings occur between the beginning of Leavitt's leave and May 31, this market will resolve to "Other". For the purposes of this market, if Leavitt resigns or otherwise leaves her position, it will qualify as a leave. This market refers to White House press briefings by the acting White House Press Secretary (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/topic/calendar/). Any press briefing by the acting White House Press Secretary will qualify, even if the host is not formally announced as the acting or interim Press Secretary. "New Media" press briefings or special briefings such as those including extra guests will be considered, so long as the acting White House Press Secretary is a listed participant. Impromptu press gaggles will not be considered for the resolution of this market; only events listed on the public schedule as briefings or announcements will qualify. This market will resolve based on footage of the next White House Press Briefing that Karoline Leavitt does not host.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 17 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Taylor Rogers» с 31%, за ним следует «Anna Kelly» с 25%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 31¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

«Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?» — недавно созданный рынок на Polymarket, запущен Apr 3, 2026. Как ранний рынок, это твоя возможность быть среди первых трейдеров, устанавливающих коэффициенты и формирующих начальные ценовые сигналы. Ты также можешь добавить эту страницу в закладки, чтобы следить за объёмом и активностью торгов.

Чтобы торговать на «Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?», просмотри 17 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?» — «Taylor Rogers» с 31%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 31%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Anna Kelly» с 25%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Who will be the first substitute White House Press Secretary?» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.