Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 39% for President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating on April 10, reflecting mixed late-March polls—such as CNN at 38%, Economist/YouGov at 39%, and Rasmussen at 46%—that average roughly 41% on RealClearPolling but dip below 40% in Silver Bulletin amid recent declines. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon, driven by the Iran war escalation over the past two weeks, have eroded economic approval to a net -23, with independents and working-class whites showing net disapproval for the first time this term. A partial government shutdown adds pressure, keeping odds competitive in the 38.5–40.4% range. New polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or shutdown resolution before April 10 could shift the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено39.5–39.9 35%
39.0–39.4 32%
38.5–38.9 31%
40.0–40.4 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 апр. 2026 г.
<38.5
19%
38.5–38.9
31%
39.0–39.4
32%
39.5–39.9
35%
40.0–40.4
27%
40.5+
5%
39.5–39.9 35%
39.0–39.4 32%
38.5–38.9 31%
40.0–40.4 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
11 апр. 2026 г.
<38.5
$217 Объем
19%
38.5–38.9
$0 Объем
31%
39.0–39.4
$0 Объем
32%
39.5–39.9
$163 Объем
35%
40.0–40.4
$0 Объем
27%
40.5+
$523 Объем
5%
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 39% for President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating on April 10, reflecting mixed late-March polls—such as CNN at 38%, Economist/YouGov at 39%, and Rasmussen at 46%—that average roughly 41% on RealClearPolling but dip below 40% in Silver Bulletin amid recent declines. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon, driven by the Iran war escalation over the past two weeks, have eroded economic approval to a net -23, with independents and working-class whites showing net disapproval for the first time this term. A partial government shutdown adds pressure, keeping odds competitive in the 38.5–40.4% range. New polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or shutdown resolution before April 10 could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Открытие рынка: Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ET
Объем
$867Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 39% for President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating on April 10, reflecting mixed late-March polls—such as CNN at 38%, Economist/YouGov at 39%, and Rasmussen at 46%—that average roughly 41% on RealClearPolling but dip below 40% in Silver Bulletin amid recent declines. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon, driven by the Iran war escalation over the past two weeks, have eroded economic approval to a net -23, with independents and working-class whites showing net disapproval for the first time this term. A partial government shutdown adds pressure, keeping odds competitive in the 38.5–40.4% range. New polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or shutdown resolution before April 10 could shift the balance.
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on April 10, 2026.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely, once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin's approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g., 42.8%, 33.9%, etc.). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Объем
$867Дата окончания
11 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 3, 2026, 12:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 39% for President Trump's Silver Bulletin approval rating on April 10, reflecting mixed late-March polls—such as CNN at 38%, Economist/YouGov at 39%, and Rasmussen at 46%—that average roughly 41% on RealClearPolling but dip below 40% in Silver Bulletin amid recent declines. Surging gas prices above $4 per gallon, driven by the Iran war escalation over the past two weeks, have eroded economic approval to a net -23, with independents and working-class whites showing net disapproval for the first time this term. A partial government shutdown adds pressure, keeping odds competitive in the 38.5–40.4% range. New polls, Iran diplomatic updates, or shutdown resolution before April 10 could shift the balance.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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