Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects surging speculation around SpaceX's anticipated IPO, fueled by reports from the past 72 hours of an imminent filing that could value the company at up to $1.8 trillion and debut shares as early as June. The February merger with xAI—one company under Elon Musk's vision—has elevated "Other" to 58.3% implied probability, as bettors anticipate a ticker reflecting the combined aerospace-AI powerhouse rather than standalone SpaceX symbols like $SX or $SPAX. $X at 35% persists due to Musk's affinity for the branding from his X platform, amid social media hype, though no official ticker or exchange has been disclosed, leaving room for surprises ahead of potential regulatory filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКаким будет публичный тикер SpaceX?
Каким будет публичный тикер SpaceX?
Другое 58.0%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.1%
$SX 1.4%
$3,778,261 Объем
$3,778,261 Объем
Другое
58%
$X
35%
$SEX
2%
$SX
1%
$SPAX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
Другое 58.0%
$X 35%
$SEX 2.1%
$SX 1.4%
$3,778,261 Объем
$3,778,261 Объем
Другое
58%
$X
35%
$SEX
2%
$SX
1%
$SPAX
1%
$SPACE
1%
$STAR
1%
$MARS
<1%
$SPC
<1%
An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Dec 13, 2025, 4:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...An official announcement from SpaceX that they will IPO under a specific ticker symbol will be sufficient to resolve this market.
If a ticker used by SpaceX in a qualifying IPO is a variant of a ticker symbol listed in this market group with additional letters to denote a specific class of shares, it will be considered to be that ticker (e.g. if SpaceX uses a ticker symbol of $MARS.A or $MARSA, this market will resolve to $MARS).
If SpaceX announces an IPO with multiple tickers that are not considered the same ticker under the previous rule (i.e. $MARS.A and $MARS.B would be considered the same ticker), this market will remain open until SpaceX’s first day of public trading and will resolve according to the ticker symbolizing the security class with the greatest market capitalization. Market capitalization is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If this also results in a tie, this market will resolve according to the ticker symbol that comes first in alphabetical order.
If SpaceX IPOs with a non-listed ticker, or does not IPO or officially announce an IPO and ticker symbol by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from SpaceX and the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
Note: In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will use the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will use the closing price on the next trading day for which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects surging speculation around SpaceX's anticipated IPO, fueled by reports from the past 72 hours of an imminent filing that could value the company at up to $1.8 trillion and debut shares as early as June. The February merger with xAI—one company under Elon Musk's vision—has elevated "Other" to 58.3% implied probability, as bettors anticipate a ticker reflecting the combined aerospace-AI powerhouse rather than standalone SpaceX symbols like $SX or $SPAX. $X at 35% persists due to Musk's affinity for the branding from his X platform, amid social media hype, though no official ticker or exchange has been disclosed, leaving room for surprises ahead of potential regulatory filings.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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