Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЯвка на всеобщих выборах в Гондурасе в 2025 году (меньшие скобки)
Явка на всеобщих выборах в Гондурасе в 2025 году (меньшие скобки)
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58–59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$33,699 Объем
$33,699 Объем
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58–59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58–59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.8%
$33,699 Объем
$33,699 Объем
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58–59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors 59-60% turnout in the November 30, 2025, Honduran general election at 54%, reflecting historical averages around 58-60% from 2013 and 2017 cycles, tempered by dismal primary turnout of just 23% on November 24, 2024—the lowest on record—which signals voter apathy amid persistent economic stagnation, gang violence, and corruption scandals. The 2021 spike to 69% was an outlier driven by anti-incumbent fervor absent today, with President Xiomara Castro's approval hovering near 35%. Lower brackets like under 56% at 14% gain traction from primary trends and high youth emigration, while upcoming campaign dynamics, potential opposition coalitions, and policy pledges on security and poverty could boost participation in this first-past-the-post presidential race.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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