Trader consensus on the 59-60% turnout bracket at 53.9% in Honduras's November 30, 2025 general election reflects CNE preliminary and final reports placing participation near 60.19%, down 8.4 points from 68.58% in 2021 amid high abstentionism driven by voter discontent, institutional distrust, poverty, and pre-election fraud narratives. The closely contested race—Nasry Asfura's narrow presidential win over Salvador Nasralla—sparked sabotage claims, recount delays, and special scrutiny of thousands of actas, fostering skepticism on exact figures despite December 2025 declarations. Lower brackets like <56% at 13.7% capture lingering concerns over rural absenteeism and disputed vote counts, while upcoming Tribunal de Justicia Electoral appeals could refine the official percentage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоЯвка на всеобщих выборах в Гондурасе в 2025 году (меньшие скобки)
Явка на всеобщих выборах в Гондурасе в 2025 году (меньшие скобки)
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58–59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.6%
$43,021 Объем
$43,021 Объем
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58–59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
59-60% 53.9%
<56% 15.0%
58–59% 12.4%
60-61% 4.6%
$43,021 Объем
$43,021 Объем
<56%
14%
56-57%
3%
57-58%
3%
58–59%
12%
59-60%
54%
60-61%
5%
61-62%
4%
>62%
3%
This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Открытие рынка: Dec 11, 2025, 2:18 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the turnout percentage in the 2025 Honduran general election, calculated as “total votes cast” divided by “eligible voters” (“electores habilitados”).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of the 2025 Honduran general election aren’t known by December 31, 2026 ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Honduran government, specifically the National Election Council (Consejo Nacional Electoral or CNE) (https://www.cne.hn/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on the 59-60% turnout bracket at 53.9% in Honduras's November 30, 2025 general election reflects CNE preliminary and final reports placing participation near 60.19%, down 8.4 points from 68.58% in 2021 amid high abstentionism driven by voter discontent, institutional distrust, poverty, and pre-election fraud narratives. The closely contested race—Nasry Asfura's narrow presidential win over Salvador Nasralla—sparked sabotage claims, recount delays, and special scrutiny of thousands of actas, fostering skepticism on exact figures despite December 2025 declarations. Lower brackets like <56% at 13.7% capture lingering concerns over rural absenteeism and disputed vote counts, while upcoming Tribunal de Justicia Electoral appeals could refine the official percentage.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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