Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 95.8% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's recent $159 billion tender offer valuation from its February 2026 employee share sale, which provided substantial liquidity without public listing pressures. This secondary transaction, coupled with 2025 payment volume surging 34% to $1.9 trillion—equivalent to 1.6% of global GDP—bolsters trader consensus that Stripe can sustain private status amid favorable secondary market dynamics. Co-founder John Collison's January remarks dismissing an imminent public debut further anchor sentiment. Realistic challenges include accelerated S-1 filings amid buoyant equity markets or strategic pivots toward capital raises, though no such signals have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоНет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 95.6%
120–140 млрд 2.5%
80–100 млрд долл. 2.2%
<80 млрд <1%
$121,341 Объем
$121,341 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80 млрд
1%
80–100 млрд долл.
2%
100–120 млрд
<1%
120–140 млрд
2%
140 млрд+
<1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
96%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 95.6%
120–140 млрд 2.5%
80–100 млрд долл. 2.2%
<80 млрд <1%
$121,341 Объем
$121,341 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<80 млрд
$67,362 Объем
1%
80–100 млрд долл.
$11,673 Объем
2%
100–120 млрд
$6,460 Объем
<1%
120–140 млрд
$14,675 Объем
2%
140 млрд+
$9,308 Объем
<1%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
$11,863 Объем
96%
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 95.8% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's recent $159 billion tender offer valuation from its February 2026 employee share sale, which provided substantial liquidity without public listing pressures. This secondary transaction, coupled with 2025 payment volume surging 34% to $1.9 trillion—equivalent to 1.6% of global GDP—bolsters trader consensus that Stripe can sustain private status amid favorable secondary market dynamics. Co-founder John Collison's January remarks dismissing an imminent public debut further anchor sentiment. Realistic challenges include accelerated S-1 filings amid buoyant equity markets or strategic pivots toward capital raises, though no such signals have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ET
Объем
$121,341Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 95.8% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's recent $159 billion tender offer valuation from its February 2026 employee share sale, which provided substantial liquidity without public listing pressures. This secondary transaction, coupled with 2025 payment volume surging 34% to $1.9 trillion—equivalent to 1.6% of global GDP—bolsters trader consensus that Stripe can sustain private status amid favorable secondary market dynamics. Co-founder John Collison's January remarks dismissing an imminent public debut further anchor sentiment. Realistic challenges include accelerated S-1 filings amid buoyant equity markets or strategic pivots toward capital raises, though no such signals have emerged in recent weeks.
This market will resolve based on Stripe's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Stripe’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$121,341Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:17 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders overwhelmingly price a 95.8% implied probability on no Stripe IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the fintech giant's recent $159 billion tender offer valuation from its February 2026 employee share sale, which provided substantial liquidity without public listing pressures. This secondary transaction, coupled with 2025 payment volume surging 34% to $1.9 trillion—equivalent to 1.6% of global GDP—bolsters trader consensus that Stripe can sustain private status amid favorable secondary market dynamics. Co-founder John Collison's January remarks dismissing an imminent public debut further anchor sentiment. Realistic challenges include accelerated S-1 filings amid buoyant equity markets or strategic pivots toward capital raises, though no such signals have emerged in recent weeks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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