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Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении

Market icon

Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении

$4,409,662 Объем

Polymarket

$4,409,662 Объем

Market icon

Движение Свобода (ГС)

$1,995,629 Объем

99%

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Словенская демократическая партия (СДС)

$2,414,032 Объем

1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Final results from Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, held under proportional representation for the 90-seat National Assembly, confirm Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) as the largest party with 28.6% of the vote and 29 seats, edging out Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28% and 28 seats in a hung parliament requiring 46 for a majority. This razor-thin margin—driven by high turnout of 69% and campaign focus on governance and foreign interference allegations—anchors trader consensus at near-certainty for GS as election winner, reflecting certified tallies from the State Election Commission. Potential challenges include formal complaints by SDS and Democrats questioning procedures, though the 1,900-vote gap makes reversal improbable; focus now shifts to coalition negotiations among seven qualifying parties.

Final results from Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, held under proportional representation for the 90-seat National Assembly, confirm Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) as the largest party with 28.6% of the vote and 29 seats, edging out Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28% and 28 seats in a hung parliament requiring 46 for a majority. This razor-thin margin—driven by high turnout of 69% and campaign focus on governance and foreign interference allegations—anchors trader consensus at near-certainty for GS as election winner, reflecting certified tallies from the State Election Commission. Potential challenges include formal complaints by SDS and Democrats questioning procedures, though the 1,900-vote gap makes reversal improbable; focus now shifts to coalition negotiations among seven qualifying parties.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Slovenia on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Slovenian National Assembly (Državni zbor) election. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Slovenian Parliament. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Slovenian government, specifically the Slovenian Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (dvk-rs.si/). Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Final results from Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, held under proportional representation for the 90-seat National Assembly, confirm Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) as the largest party with 28.6% of the vote and 29 seats, edging out Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28% and 28 seats in a hung parliament requiring 46 for a majority. This razor-thin margin—driven by high turnout of 69% and campaign focus on governance and foreign interference allegations—anchors trader consensus at near-certainty for GS as election winner, reflecting certified tallies from the State Election Commission. Potential challenges include formal complaints by SDS and Democrats questioning procedures, though the 1,900-vote gap makes reversal improbable; focus now shifts to coalition negotiations among seven qualifying parties.

Final results from Slovenia's March 22 parliamentary election, held under proportional representation for the 90-seat National Assembly, confirm Prime Minister Robert Golob's Freedom Movement (GS) as the largest party with 28.6% of the vote and 29 seats, edging out Janez Janša's Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) at 28% and 28 seats in a hung parliament requiring 46 for a majority. This razor-thin margin—driven by high turnout of 69% and campaign focus on governance and foreign interference allegations—anchors trader consensus at near-certainty for GS as election winner, reflecting certified tallies from the State Election Commission. Potential challenges include formal complaints by SDS and Democrats questioning procedures, though the 1,900-vote gap makes reversal improbable; focus now shifts to coalition negotiations among seven qualifying parties.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 15 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Движение Свобода (ГС)» с 99%, за ним следует «Словенская демократическая партия (СДС)» с 1%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 99¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $4.4 million с момента запуска рынка Dec 23, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении», просмотри 15 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении» — «Движение Свобода (ГС)» с 99%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 99%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Словенская демократическая партия (СДС)» с 1%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Победитель парламентских выборов в Словении» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.