Polymarket traders heavily favor Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the winner of Saxony-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent polls, including the latest INSA survey published March 25 showing AfD at 38%, CDU at 25%, Die Linke at 13%, and others below 7%. This entrenched advantage, stable since January despite CDU's new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze taking office on January 28, underscores voter discontent with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition, projected to lose its majority. AfD's projected 36 seats out of 83 signals a clear plurality, with smaller parties like BSW, FDP, and Greens hovering near the 5% threshold, further solidifying trader consensus on AfD as the strongest force amid eastern Germany's shifting dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
Победитель парламентских выборов в Саксонии-Анхальт
АдГ 89%
ХДС 9.4%
СДПГ <1%
Левая партия <1%
$518,833 Объем
$518,833 Объем

АдГ
89%

ХДС
9%

СДПГ
1%

Левая партия
<1%

BSW
<1%

СвДП
<1%

Зелёные
<1%
АдГ 89%
ХДС 9.4%
СДПГ <1%
Левая партия <1%
$518,833 Объем
$518,833 Объем

АдГ
89%

ХДС
9%

СДПГ
1%

Левая партия
<1%

BSW
<1%

СвДП
<1%

Зелёные
<1%
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Открытие рынка: Feb 11, 2026, 4:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the state parliament of Sachsen-Anhalt (Landtag) as a result of this election.
If voting in the Sachsen-Anhalt election for the Landtag does not occur by January 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as published on the official website of the Landtag of Sachsen-Anhalt (https://www.landtag.sachsen-anhalt.de/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders heavily favor Alternative for Germany (AfD) as the winner of Saxony-Anhalt's Landtagswahl on September 6, 2026, reflecting its consistent double-digit lead in recent polls, including the latest INSA survey published March 25 showing AfD at 38%, CDU at 25%, Die Linke at 13%, and others below 7%. This entrenched advantage, stable since January despite CDU's new Ministerpräsident Sven Schulze taking office on January 28, underscores voter discontent with the incumbent CDU-SPD-FDP coalition, projected to lose its majority. AfD's projected 36 seats out of 83 signals a clear plurality, with smaller parties like BSW, FDP, and Greens hovering near the 5% threshold, further solidifying trader consensus on AfD as the strongest force amid eastern Germany's shifting dynamics.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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