Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers at 98% implied probability, reflecting severe disruptions from a prolonged partial DHS shutdown that has triggered over 450 officer resignations and 40-50% call-out rates, crippling checkpoint capacity amid spring break demand. Recent volumes underscore this: March 24's 2.19 million low, March 25's 2.38 million, prior weekend's 2.50 million, and volatile Friday 2.72 million outlier, with staffing chaos deterring travelers and causing missed flights despite Airlines for America projecting highs. ICE reinforcements provide minor relief, but weekend patterns favor lighter traffic. Realistic upsets hinge on Trump's emergency paycheck move boosting attendance rapidly or pre-Easter surges overwhelming hurdles before Monday's data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<2.6M 98.0%
2.6M-2.8M 1.0%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$8,040 Объем
$8,040 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
<2.6M
98%
2.6M-2.8M
1%
2.8M-3.0M
<1%
3.0M-3.2M
<1%
3.2M-3.4M
<1%
>3.4M
<1%
<2.6M 98.0%
2.6M-2.8M 1.0%
2.8M-3.0M <1%
3.0M-3.2M <1%
$8,040 Объем
$8,040 Объем
Mar 28, 2026
<2.6M
$708 Объем
98%
2.6M-2.8M
$386 Объем
1%
2.8M-3.0M
$3,391 Объем
<1%
3.0M-3.2M
$1,198 Объем
<1%
3.2M-3.4M
$1,320 Объем
<1%
>3.4M
$1,036 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers at 98% implied probability, reflecting severe disruptions from a prolonged partial DHS shutdown that has triggered over 450 officer resignations and 40-50% call-out rates, crippling checkpoint capacity amid spring break demand. Recent volumes underscore this: March 24's 2.19 million low, March 25's 2.38 million, prior weekend's 2.50 million, and volatile Friday 2.72 million outlier, with staffing chaos deterring travelers and causing missed flights despite Airlines for America projecting highs. ICE reinforcements provide minor relief, but weekend patterns favor lighter traffic. Realistic upsets hinge on Trump's emergency paycheck move boosting attendance rapidly or pre-Easter surges overwhelming hurdles before Monday's data release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ET
Объем
$8,040Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers at 98% implied probability, reflecting severe disruptions from a prolonged partial DHS shutdown that has triggered over 450 officer resignations and 40-50% call-out rates, crippling checkpoint capacity amid spring break demand. Recent volumes underscore this: March 24's 2.19 million low, March 25's 2.38 million, prior weekend's 2.50 million, and volatile Friday 2.72 million outlier, with staffing chaos deterring travelers and causing missed flights despite Airlines for America projecting highs. ICE reinforcements provide minor relief, but weekend patterns favor lighter traffic. Realistic upsets hinge on Trump's emergency paycheck move boosting attendance rapidly or pre-Easter surges overwhelming hurdles before Monday's data release.
This market will resolve to the total number of TSA passengers reported on March 28, 2026.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
If the reported total number of TSA passengers falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve as soon as throughput data becomes available for the listed date. Any revisions published to data for dates December 1, 2025 and onward prior to the release of data for all dates within the listed range will be considered.
If data is not available for the listed date by April 30, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be the daily checkpoint throughputs as measured by the US Transportation Security Administration (TSA), https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumes. Should this URL change or move locations, a new URL on the tsa.gov domain will remain valid to resolve this market.
Объем
$8,040Дата окончания
Mar 28, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 5:54 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.tsa.gov/travel/passenger-volumesResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus overwhelmingly backs under 2.6 million TSA-screened passengers at 98% implied probability, reflecting severe disruptions from a prolonged partial DHS shutdown that has triggered over 450 officer resignations and 40-50% call-out rates, crippling checkpoint capacity amid spring break demand. Recent volumes underscore this: March 24's 2.19 million low, March 25's 2.38 million, prior weekend's 2.50 million, and volatile Friday 2.72 million outlier, with staffing chaos deterring travelers and causing missed flights despite Airlines for America projecting highs. ICE reinforcements provide minor relief, but weekend patterns favor lighter traffic. Realistic upsets hinge on Trump's emergency paycheck move boosting attendance rapidly or pre-Easter surges overwhelming hurdles before Monday's data release.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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