Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, driven by Social Democrats' persistent polling lead around 31-33% as the largest party, giving the Red-Greens bloc (S, V, MP) a slim edge or tie over the Tidö right bloc (M, KD, L with SD support) in recent surveys like Ipsos and Novus from mid-March. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33% amid incumbency advantages but faces headwinds from the narrowing gap, offset slightly by Liberals' poll bump to 4.5% in the March 24 Demoskop survey and their March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to enable right-wing coalition formation. Jimmie Åkesson at 5.3% reflects SD's strong 20% support yet exclusion from premiership in bloc dynamics, with others marginal in proportional representation outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСледующий премьер-министр Швеции
Следующий премьер-министр Швеции
Магдалена Андерссон 59%
Ульф Кристерссон 33%
Джимми Окесон 5.3%
Эбба Буш 1.9%
$1,671,447 Объем
$1,671,447 Объем

Магдалена Андерссон
59%

Ульф Кристерссон
33%

Джимми Окесон
5%

Эбба Буш
2%

Аманда Линд
<1%

Ноши Дадгостар
<1%

Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%

Симона Мохамссон
<1%

Даниэль Хелльден
<1%

Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
Магдалена Андерссон 59%
Ульф Кристерссон 33%
Джимми Окесон 5.3%
Эбба Буш 1.9%
$1,671,447 Объем
$1,671,447 Объем

Магдалена Андерссон
59%

Ульф Кристерссон
33%

Джимми Окесон
5%

Эбба Буш
2%

Аманда Линд
<1%

Ноши Дадгостар
<1%

Анна-Карин Хатт
<1%

Симона Мохамссон
<1%

Даниэль Хелльден
<1%

Элизабет Танд Рингквист
<1%
This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Jan 19, 2026, 3:20 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the next individual who is officially appointed and assumes office as Prime Minister of Sweden following the next parliamentary election.
To count for resolution, the individual must officially assume office. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.
If no such Prime Minister assumes office by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Sweden; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Magdalena Andersson at 58.5% to become Sweden's next prime minister following the September 13, 2026, Riksdag election, driven by Social Democrats' persistent polling lead around 31-33% as the largest party, giving the Red-Greens bloc (S, V, MP) a slim edge or tie over the Tidö right bloc (M, KD, L with SD support) in recent surveys like Ipsos and Novus from mid-March. Ulf Kristersson trails at 33% amid incumbency advantages but faces headwinds from the narrowing gap, offset slightly by Liberals' poll bump to 4.5% in the March 24 Demoskop survey and their March 13 pact with Sweden Democrats to enable right-wing coalition formation. Jimmie Åkesson at 5.3% reflects SD's strong 20% support yet exclusion from premiership in bloc dynamics, with others marginal in proportional representation outcomes.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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