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Мир·Мировые выборы

Следующий премьер-министр Венгрии

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Мир·Мировые выборы

Следующий премьер-министр Венгрии

Пётр Магяр 65%

Виктор Орбан 36%

Иштван Капитань <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$41,596,676 Объем

Пётр Магяр 65%

Виктор Орбан 36%

Иштван Капитань <1%

László Toroczkai <1%

Polymarket

$41,596,676 Объем

Market icon

Пётр Магяр

$5,160,213 Объем

65%

Market icon

Виктор Орбан

$4,762,040 Объем

36%

Market icon

Иштван Капитань

$9,861,211 Объем

<1%

Market icon

László Toroczkai

$11,937,546 Объем

<1%

Market icon

Янош Лазар

$5,383,421 Объем

<1%

Market icon

Клара Добрева

$4,492,837 Объем

<1%

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Hungary's parliamentary elections set for April 12, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Péter Magyar's ascent to prime minister at 64.5%, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont showing Tisza leading Fidesz by 20+ points among decided voters, fueled by youth mobilization, anti-corruption rallies, and allegations of ruling party voter intimidation via cash and drugs reported last week. Incumbent Viktor Orbán holds 35.5% amid government-aligned surveys depicting Fidesz ahead, bolstered by gerrymandered single-member districts favoring incumbents and media dominance, though economic stagnation and Magyar's treason accusations over an alleged EU-Russia leak have eroded support. Far-right and left figures trail due to fragmented votes insufficient for government formation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$41,596,676
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.With Hungary's parliamentary elections set for April 12, trader consensus on Polymarket prices Péter Magyar's ascent to prime minister at 64.5%, reflecting recent independent polls like Medián and 21 Kutatóközpont showing Tisza leading Fidesz by 20+ points among decided voters, fueled by youth mobilization, anti-corruption rallies, and allegations of ruling party voter intimidation via cash and drugs reported last week. Incumbent Viktor Orbán holds 35.5% amid government-aligned surveys depicting Fidesz ahead, bolstered by gerrymandered single-member districts favoring incumbents and media dominance, though economic stagnation and Magyar's treason accusations over an alleged EU-Russia leak have eroded support. Far-right and left figures trail due to fragmented votes insufficient for government formation.

Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$41,596,676
Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Jul 24, 2025, 5:55 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is next officially appointed and confirmed as Prime Minister of Hungary following the 2026 parliamentary election. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally elected and appointed to the role of Prime Minister. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister is confirmed by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Hungary; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Следующий премьер-министр Венгрии» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Пётр Магяр» с 65%, за ним следует «Виктор Орбан» с 36%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 65¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Следующий премьер-министр Венгрии» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $41.6 million с момента запуска рынка Jul 24, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Следующий премьер-министр Венгрии», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Следующий премьер-министр Венгрии» — «Пётр Магяр» с 65%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 65%. Следующий ближайший исход — «Виктор Орбан» с 36%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Следующий премьер-министр Венгрии» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.