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Технологии·Big Tech

НАСА Артемида II

Market icon
Технологии·Big Tech

НАСА Артемида II

$678,655 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$678,655 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$185,891 Объем

<1%

30 апреля

$114,064 Объем

77%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed test of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on near-term resolution. The four-astronaut crew arrived Friday, entering quarantine amid final preparations, following the SLS-Orion stack's successful rollout to the pad on March 20 after resolving a February upper stage helium flow issue. This 10-day lunar flyby will validate deep space life support and heat shield systems, paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Backup windows span April 2-6 and 30, with weather or minor technical holds as key risks; live coverage begins today.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«НАСА Артемида II» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 апреля» с 77%, за ним следует «31 марта» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 77¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 77%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «НАСА Артемида II» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $678.7K с момента запуска рынка Jan 20, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «НАСА Артемида II», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «НАСА Артемида II» — «30 апреля» с 77%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 77%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 марта» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «НАСА Артемида II» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.