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Технологии·Big Tech

НАСА Артемида II

Market icon
Технологии·Big Tech

НАСА Артемида II

$678,660 Объем

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$678,660 Объем

Polymarket

31 марта

$185,896 Объем

<1%

30 апреля

$114,064 Объем

77%

If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.If the Artemis II rocket successfully launches from its launch pad by February28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Yes”. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The outcome of any launch will be corroborated by examining official video provided by NASA (https://www.youtube.com/nasa), as well as secondary video feeds and/or written reports if necessary. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the launch will have no bearing on the outcome. Any name change of the Artemis II with another vehicle will have no bearing on the outcome of the market.NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

NASA's Artemis II mission, the first crewed flight of the Space Launch System (SLS) rocket and Orion spacecraft, stands poised for launch no earlier than April 1, 2026, from Kennedy Space Center's Pad 39B, driving strong trader consensus on timely execution. Recent catalysts include the SLS-Orion stack's final rollout to the pad on March 20, crew arrival and quarantine initiation last week, and NASA's release of the detailed launch countdown timeline this week, confirming readiness for the 10-day lunar flyby testing deep-space life support, navigation, and heat shield systems. The four-person crew—Reid Wiseman, Victor Glover, Christina Koch, and Jeremy Hansen—will validate human-rated capabilities paving the way for Artemis III lunar landing. Key watchpoints: propellant tanking on April 1 and potential weather-driven slips within the April 1-6 window.

Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено

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Часто задаваемые вопросы

«НАСА Артемида II» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 4 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «30 апреля» с 78%, за ним следует «31 марта» с 0%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 78¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «НАСА Артемида II» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $678.7K с момента запуска рынка Jan 20, 2026. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «НАСА Артемида II», просмотри 4 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «НАСА Артемида II» — «30 апреля» с 78%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 78%. Следующий ближайший исход — «31 марта» с 0%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «НАСА Артемида II» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.