Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability to host the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, propelled by reports of imminent S-1 filing as early as this week and April investor briefings, targeting a mid-year listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially the biggest ever—following its February acquisition of xAI, which integrates advanced AI capabilities for space data centers and Starship acceleration. Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue underscores the scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger overhang uncertainties, while OpenAI (4%) and Anthropic (4%) eye Q4 debuts but trail on confirmed timelines and valuations under $1 trillion. Watch for filing confirmation and regulatory nods as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоКрупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
Крупнейшее IPO по рыночной капитализации в 2026 году?
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.0%
Anthropic 4.0%
Waymo <1%
$1,610,578 Объем
$1,610,578 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
90%
OpenAI
4%
Anthropic
4%
Waymo
1%
Kraken
1%
Discord
1%
Stripe
<1%
Databricks
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Revolut
<1%
Perplexity AI
<1%
SHEIN
<1%
SpaceX 90%
OpenAI 4.0%
Anthropic 4.0%
Waymo <1%
$1,610,578 Объем
$1,610,578 Объем
Dec 31, 2026
SpaceX
$177,790 Объем
90%
OpenAI
$294,074 Объем
4%
Anthropic
$341,800 Объем
4%
Waymo
$43,362 Объем
1%
Kraken
$371,637 Объем
1%
Discord
$66,988 Объем
1%
Stripe
$36,856 Объем
<1%
Databricks
$66,189 Объем
<1%
ByteDance
$83,629 Объем
<1%
Revolut
$24,293 Объем
<1%
Perplexity AI
$52,568 Объем
<1%
SHEIN
$51,392 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability to host the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, propelled by reports of imminent S-1 filing as early as this week and April investor briefings, targeting a mid-year listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially the biggest ever—following its February acquisition of xAI, which integrates advanced AI capabilities for space data centers and Starship acceleration. Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue underscores the scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger overhang uncertainties, while OpenAI (4%) and Anthropic (4%) eye Q4 debuts but trail on confirmed timelines and valuations under $1 trillion. Watch for filing confirmation and regulatory nods as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ET
Объем
$1,610,578Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability to host the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, propelled by reports of imminent S-1 filing as early as this week and April investor briefings, targeting a mid-year listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially the biggest ever—following its February acquisition of xAI, which integrates advanced AI capabilities for space data centers and Starship acceleration. Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue underscores the scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger overhang uncertainties, while OpenAI (4%) and Anthropic (4%) eye Q4 debuts but trail on confirmed timelines and valuations under $1 trillion. Watch for filing confirmation and regulatory nods as key catalysts.
This market will resolve to the company that achieves the highest market capitalization in U.S. dollars based on the official closing price on its first trading day in 2026.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve to a company that completes an Initial Public Offering (IPO) between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If two or more companies have exactly equal highest closing market capitalizations, this market will resolve to the company whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In case the respective company's primary exchange’s official listing page does not report in U.S. dollars, it will be converted to U.S. dollars using the U.S. Federal Reserve Board’s H.10 foreign exchange reference rate for the relevant currency pair on the company’s first trading day (https://www.federalreserve.gov/releases/h10/). If no such rate is available for the relevant trading day, the most recent previously published rate will be used. If the relevant currency is not listed, another credible exchange rate source will be used.
A listed company may resolve to "No" as soon as it becomes unable to complete an IPO, including due to acquisition, merger, or absorption by an entity that is already publicly traded.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on the respective companies’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$1,610,578Дата окончания
Dec 31, 2026Открытие рынка
Feb 2, 2026, 5:32 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors SpaceX at an 89.5% implied probability to host the largest IPO by market cap in 2026, propelled by reports of imminent S-1 filing as early as this week and April investor briefings, targeting a mid-year listing at a $1.75 trillion valuation—potentially the biggest ever—following its February acquisition of xAI, which integrates advanced AI capabilities for space data centers and Starship acceleration. Starlink's projected $20 billion 2026 revenue underscores the scale, dwarfing rivals. xAI lingers at 25.5% amid merger overhang uncertainties, while OpenAI (4%) and Anthropic (4%) eye Q4 debuts but trail on confirmed timelines and valuations under $1 trillion. Watch for filing confirmation and regulatory nods as key catalysts.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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