Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a June SpaceX IPO at 56% implied probability, driven by reports over the past week indicating an imminent S-1 filing—potentially this week—with a mid-June listing target at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, the largest ever. This surge in sentiment stems from leaks detailing preparations since December 2025, including bank selections, law firm hires like Gibson Dunn, and planned April investor briefings, amid Starship progress and Starlink expansion boosting fundamentals. July (16%) and October (17%) reflect potential SEC review delays or roadshow extensions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6% underscores strong momentum against prolonged privatization. Key catalysts include any S-1 confirmation and Q2 regulatory feedback.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоИюнь 56%
Октябрь 16.4%
Сентябрь 8.8%
Июль 6.8%
$146,540 Объем
$146,540 Объем
Март
<1%
Апрель
1%
Май
6%
Июнь
56%
Июль
16%
Август
7%
Сентябрь
9%
Октябрь
16%
Ноябрь
2%
Декабрь
1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
6%
Июнь 56%
Октябрь 16.4%
Сентябрь 8.8%
Июль 6.8%
$146,540 Объем
$146,540 Объем
Март
<1%
Апрель
1%
Май
6%
Июнь
56%
Июль
16%
Август
7%
Сентябрь
9%
Октябрь
16%
Ноябрь
2%
Декабрь
1%
Нет IPO до 2027 года
6%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Открытие рынка: Feb 9, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2027".
Announcements, filings, or scheduling of an IPO will not suffice; this market will resolve after public trading has begun.
Resolution will be based on information from the primary exchange.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a June SpaceX IPO at 56% implied probability, driven by reports over the past week indicating an imminent S-1 filing—potentially this week—with a mid-June listing target at a staggering $1.75 trillion valuation and over $75 billion raise, the largest ever. This surge in sentiment stems from leaks detailing preparations since December 2025, including bank selections, law firm hires like Gibson Dunn, and planned April investor briefings, amid Starship progress and Starlink expansion boosting fundamentals. July (16%) and October (17%) reflect potential SEC review delays or roadshow extensions, while "No IPO before 2027" at 6% underscores strong momentum against prolonged privatization. Key catalysts include any S-1 confirmation and Q2 regulatory feedback.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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