Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35%, have widened the opposition's lead ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward a TISZA victory at 66.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party has sustained momentum from its 2024 European Parliament gains, consolidating anti-incumbent sentiment amid economic pressures and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies. Fidesz-KDNP, at 33.5%, benefits from the winner-take-all electoral system favoring incumbents in single-member districts, potentially enabling a majority government despite trailing popular vote. Final campaign smears and voter turnout in rural strongholds remain pivotal uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоПобедитель парламентских выборов в Венгрии
Победитель парламентских выборов в Венгрии
ТИСА 67%
Фидес–ХДНП 33%
Моментум <1%
ДК <1%
$48,906,931 Объем
$48,906,931 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
ТИСА
67%
Фидес–ХДНП
33%
Моментум
<1%
ДК
<1%
LMP
<1%
MSZP
<1%
Mi Hazánk
<1%
Партбесед
<1%
Йоббик
<1%
ХДНП
<1%
ТИСА 67%
Фидес–ХДНП 33%
Моментум <1%
ДК <1%
$48,906,931 Объем
$48,906,931 Объем
Apr 12, 2026
ТИСА
$861,583 Объем
67%
Фидес–ХДНП
$1,143,571 Объем
33%
Моментум
$602,338 Объем
<1%
ДК
$4,876,095 Объем
<1%
LMP
$14,325,703 Объем
<1%
MSZP
$446,332 Объем
<1%
Mi Hazánk
$470,862 Объем
<1%
Партбесед
$7,088,495 Объем
<1%
Йоббик
$14,786,563 Объем
<1%
ХДНП
$4,306,130 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35%, have widened the opposition's lead ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward a TISZA victory at 66.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party has sustained momentum from its 2024 European Parliament gains, consolidating anti-incumbent sentiment amid economic pressures and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies. Fidesz-KDNP, at 33.5%, benefits from the winner-take-all electoral system favoring incumbents in single-member districts, potentially enabling a majority government despite trailing popular vote. Final campaign smears and voter turnout in rural strongholds remain pivotal uncertainties.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Открытие рынка: Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ET
Объем
$48,906,931Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35%, have widened the opposition's lead ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward a TISZA victory at 66.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party has sustained momentum from its 2024 European Parliament gains, consolidating anti-incumbent sentiment amid economic pressures and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies. Fidesz-KDNP, at 33.5%, benefits from the winner-take-all electoral system favoring incumbents in single-member districts, potentially enabling a majority government despite trailing popular vote. Final campaign smears and voter turnout in rural strongholds remain pivotal uncertainties.
Parliamentary elections are to be scheduled to be held in Hungary on April 12, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Объем
$48,906,931Дата окончания
Apr 12, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 16, 2025, 3:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent opinion polls, including a March 25 Medián survey showing TISZA at 58% among decided voters versus Fidesz-KDNP's 35%, have widened the opposition's lead ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election, driving trader consensus toward a TISZA victory at 66.5% implied probability. Péter Magyar's centre-right TISZA party has sustained momentum from its 2024 European Parliament gains, consolidating anti-incumbent sentiment amid economic pressures and corruption allegations against Fidesz allies. Fidesz-KDNP, at 33.5%, benefits from the winner-take-all electoral system favoring incumbents in single-member districts, potentially enabling a majority government despite trailing popular vote. Final campaign smears and voter turnout in rural strongholds remain pivotal uncertainties.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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