Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election position Mi Hazánk solidly in third place with 5-6% support among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like MKKP (3-4%), DK (2-3%), and others below 2%, as shown in late-March surveys from Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, alongside POLITICO's March 30 poll-of-polls average. This trader consensus at 96% odds reflects Mi Hazánk's consistent outperformance of the 5% parliamentary threshold amid fragmented smaller parties, bolstered by its appeal to far-right voters dissatisfied with both leading TISZA and Fidesz-KDNP. While stable trends favor this outcome, challenges could arise from undecided voter shifts consolidating behind MKKP or DK, late scandals, or turnout surges among opposition blocs in the campaign's final week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Hungary Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Mi Hazánk 96%
МККП 2.8%
DK 1.4%
MSZP <1%
$50,639 Объем
$50,639 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Mi Hazánk
96%
МККП
3%
DK
1%
MSZP
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
<1%
Momentum
<1%
Párbeszéd
<1%
TISZA
<1%
Jobbik
<1%
LMP
<1%
Mi Hazánk 96%
МККП 2.8%
DK 1.4%
MSZP <1%
$50,639 Объем
$50,639 Объем
12 апр. 2026 г.
Mi Hazánk
$33,571 Объем
96%
МККП
$1,537 Объем
3%
DK
$1,434 Объем
1%
MSZP
$1,226 Объем
<1%
Fidesz-KDNP
$1,677 Объем
<1%
Momentum
$2,759 Объем
<1%
Párbeszéd
$1,229 Объем
<1%
TISZA
$1,211 Объем
<1%
Jobbik
$1,366 Объем
<1%
LMP
$4,630 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election position Mi Hazánk solidly in third place with 5-6% support among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like MKKP (3-4%), DK (2-3%), and others below 2%, as shown in late-March surveys from Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, alongside POLITICO's March 30 poll-of-polls average. This trader consensus at 96% odds reflects Mi Hazánk's consistent outperformance of the 5% parliamentary threshold amid fragmented smaller parties, bolstered by its appeal to far-right voters dissatisfied with both leading TISZA and Fidesz-KDNP. While stable trends favor this outcome, challenges could arise from undecided voter shifts consolidating behind MKKP or DK, late scandals, or turnout surges among opposition blocs in the campaign's final week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Открытие рынка: Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ET
Объем
$50,639Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election position Mi Hazánk solidly in third place with 5-6% support among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like MKKP (3-4%), DK (2-3%), and others below 2%, as shown in late-March surveys from Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, alongside POLITICO's March 30 poll-of-polls average. This trader consensus at 96% odds reflects Mi Hazánk's consistent outperformance of the 5% parliamentary threshold amid fragmented smaller parties, bolstered by its appeal to far-right voters dissatisfied with both leading TISZA and Fidesz-KDNP. While stable trends favor this outcome, challenges could arise from undecided voter shifts consolidating behind MKKP or DK, late scandals, or turnout surges among opposition blocs in the campaign's final week.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Hungary on 12 April 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Hungarian National Assembly (Országgyűlés) election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party name. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Hungarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Hungarian government, specifically the Hungarian Election Authority (Nemzeti Választási Iroda) (valasztas.hu).
Note: Fidesz and KDNP registered jointly for the 2026 Hungary parliamentary elections (see: https://vtr.valasztas.hu/ogy2026/orszagos-listak?tab=partlistak). If the Fidesz-KDNP coalition dissolves prior to the election, this option will represent only seats won by Fidesz.
Объем
$50,639Дата окончания
12 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 23, 2026, 1:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls ahead of Hungary's April 12 parliamentary election position Mi Hazánk solidly in third place with 5-6% support among decided voters, well ahead of rivals like MKKP (3-4%), DK (2-3%), and others below 2%, as shown in late-March surveys from Publicus, Závecz Research, and 21 Kutatóközpont, alongside POLITICO's March 30 poll-of-polls average. This trader consensus at 96% odds reflects Mi Hazánk's consistent outperformance of the 5% parliamentary threshold amid fragmented smaller parties, bolstered by its appeal to far-right voters dissatisfied with both leading TISZA and Fidesz-KDNP. While stable trends favor this outcome, challenges could arise from undecided voter shifts consolidating behind MKKP or DK, late scandals, or turnout surges among opposition blocs in the campaign's final week.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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