Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) at 43% for 19–21 seats in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its allocation of about 25 constituencies within the competitive United Democratic Front (UDF) alliance amid neck-and-neck polls against the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent Matrize-IANS and CNN-News18 VoteTracker surveys project a tight UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–70 seats), bolstering IUML's prospects to exceed its 2021 haul of 15 seats in Malabar strongholds like Malappuram. IUML's March 17 candidate list, featuring strategic shifts such as P.K. Kunhalikutty to Malappuram, two women nominees including a non-Muslim, and youth infusions, signals renewal, though minor internal dissent and LDF poaching of rebels introduce uncertainty ahead of counting on May 4.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСколько мест получит IUML на следующих выборах в Законодательное собрание Кералы?
Сколько мест получит IUML на следующих выборах в Законодательное собрание Кералы?
19–21 43%
16–18 29%
22+ 22%
13–15 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 9, 2026
<10
8%
10–12
7%
13–15
19%
16–18
29%
19–21
43%
22+
22%
19–21 43%
16–18 29%
22+ 22%
13–15 19%
NEW
NEW
Apr 9, 2026
<10
$147 Объем
8%
10–12
$0 Объем
7%
13–15
$0 Объем
19%
16–18
$0 Объем
29%
19–21
$0 Объем
43%
22+
$0 Объем
22%
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) at 43% for 19–21 seats in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its allocation of about 25 constituencies within the competitive United Democratic Front (UDF) alliance amid neck-and-neck polls against the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent Matrize-IANS and CNN-News18 VoteTracker surveys project a tight UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–70 seats), bolstering IUML's prospects to exceed its 2021 haul of 15 seats in Malabar strongholds like Malappuram. IUML's March 17 candidate list, featuring strategic shifts such as P.K. Kunhalikutty to Malappuram, two women nominees including a non-Muslim, and youth infusions, signals renewal, though minor internal dissent and LDF poaching of rebels introduce uncertainty ahead of counting on May 4.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ET
Объем
$147Дата окончания
Apr 9, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) at 43% for 19–21 seats in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its allocation of about 25 constituencies within the competitive United Democratic Front (UDF) alliance amid neck-and-neck polls against the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent Matrize-IANS and CNN-News18 VoteTracker surveys project a tight UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–70 seats), bolstering IUML's prospects to exceed its 2021 haul of 15 seats in Malabar strongholds like Malappuram. IUML's March 17 candidate list, featuring strategic shifts such as P.K. Kunhalikutty to Malappuram, two women nominees including a non-Muslim, and youth infusions, signals renewal, though minor internal dissent and LDF poaching of rebels introduce uncertainty ahead of counting on May 4.
Legislative Assembly elections are to be scheduled to be held in Kerala, India, in March–May 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats held by the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) in the Kerala Assembly as a result of the next Legislative Assembly elections in Kerala.
If results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Kerala Legislative Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Indian government, specifically the Election Commission of India (ECI) (https://eci.gov.in). If multiple official reports differ, this market will resolve based on the one that includes the greatest number of Assembly Constituencies (ACs).
Объем
$147Дата окончания
Apr 9, 2026Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 4:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices the Indian Union Muslim League (IUML) at 43% for 19–21 seats in the April 9, 2026, Kerala Legislative Assembly election, reflecting its allocation of about 25 constituencies within the competitive United Democratic Front (UDF) alliance amid neck-and-neck polls against the ruling Left Democratic Front (LDF). Recent Matrize-IANS and CNN-News18 VoteTracker surveys project a tight UDF-LDF contest (UDF 58–70 seats), bolstering IUML's prospects to exceed its 2021 haul of 15 seats in Malabar strongholds like Malappuram. IUML's March 17 candidate list, featuring strategic shifts such as P.K. Kunhalikutty to Malappuram, two women nominees including a non-Muslim, and youth infusions, signals renewal, though minor internal dissent and LDF poaching of rebels introduce uncertainty ahead of counting on May 4.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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