Météo-France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Paris today, April 4, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C or higher, well above the April climatological average of 15–16°C. Current observations from stations like Paris-Montsouris show morning temperatures around 12°C rising steadily under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supporting further warming this afternoon amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as potential late-day cloud thickening or a northerly wind shift capping peaks below 17°C—such scenarios are deemed low-risk given steering patterns. Hourly updates and evening station data will finalize resolution based on official central Paris measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Paris on April 4?
Highest temperature in Paris on April 4?
17°C or higher 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$169,356 Объем
$169,356 Объем
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
100%
17°C or higher 100.0%
14°C <1%
15°C <1%
16°C <1%
$169,356 Объем
$169,356 Объем
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C or higher
100%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Mar 29, 2026, 3:33 PM ET
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Charles de Gaulle Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Источник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/paris/LFPGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: No
Окно спора
Окончательный
Météo-France's latest forecast projects a maximum temperature of 17–18°C in Paris today, April 4, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for 17°C or higher, well above the April climatological average of 15–16°C. Current observations from stations like Paris-Montsouris show morning temperatures around 12°C rising steadily under partly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, with model consensus from ECMWF and GFS ensembles supporting further warming this afternoon amid a high-pressure ridge fostering mild spring conditions. While inherent forecast uncertainty exists—such as potential late-day cloud thickening or a northerly wind shift capping peaks below 17°C—such scenarios are deemed low-risk given steering patterns. Hourly updates and evening station data will finalize resolution based on official central Paris measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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