The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Джакарте 7 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Джакарте 7 апреля?
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
30°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
8%
28°C
2%
29°C
3%
30°C
27%
31°C
27%
32°C
27%
33°C
27%
34°C
27%
35°C
27%
36°C
27%
37°C или выше
11%
32°C 27%
33°C 27%
34°C 27%
30°C 27%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
7 апр. 2026 г.
27°C или ниже
$361 Объем
8%
28°C
$359 Объем
2%
29°C
$54 Объем
3%
30°C
$0 Объем
27%
31°C
$0 Объем
27%
32°C
$0 Объем
27%
33°C
$0 Объем
27%
34°C
$0 Объем
27%
35°C
$0 Объем
27%
36°C
$0 Объем
27%
37°C или выше
$10 Объем
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Объем
$784Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 7 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$784Дата окончания
7 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...The evenly matched market-implied probabilities across temperature outcomes underscore substantial uncertainty in short-term weather models for Jakarta's highest temperature on April 7, with ensemble forecasts from sources like AccuWeather centering around 31-32°C amid transitioning monsoon conditions. BMKG's latest advisories highlight potential light rain and high cloud cover through early April, which could suppress peaks via increased humidity and shading, while historical April highs average 32°C and urban heat island effects in Jakarta often push readings toward 33-34°C under clearer skies. ENSO-neutral status per NOAA reduces chances of El Niño-driven extremes, differentiating lower outcomes (27-30°C) via convective activity from higher ones (34°C+). Watch BMKG updates for model refinements over the next 48 hours.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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