Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on April 3, driven by BMKG observations showing midday air temperatures already reaching 32°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light rain, consistent with the city's tropical climate and urban heat island amplification that routinely pushes official station readings—such as at Halim or Cengkarno-Hatta—to 34°C even under variable cloud cover. Recent early April trends logged peaks up to 35°C before increased moisture, underscoring model conservatism in forecasts listing 31-32°C maxima. Realistic challenges include persistent afternoon showers reducing solar insolation to cap highs at 33°C or below, with end-of-day BMKG station data providing final resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоHighest temperature in Jakarta on April 3?
Highest temperature in Jakarta on April 3?
34°C 99.5%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
36°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 апр. 2026 г.
34°C
100%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 99.5%
35°C <1%
37°C <1%
36°C <1%
НОВОЕ
НОВОЕ
3 апр. 2026 г.
34°C
$1,582 Объем
100%
35°C
$822 Объем
<1%
36°C
$744 Объем
<1%
37°C
$1,223 Объем
<1%
38°C or higher
$959 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on April 3, driven by BMKG observations showing midday air temperatures already reaching 32°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light rain, consistent with the city's tropical climate and urban heat island amplification that routinely pushes official station readings—such as at Halim or Cengkarno-Hatta—to 34°C even under variable cloud cover. Recent early April trends logged peaks up to 35°C before increased moisture, underscoring model conservatism in forecasts listing 31-32°C maxima. Realistic challenges include persistent afternoon showers reducing solar insolation to cap highs at 33°C or below, with end-of-day BMKG station data providing final resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ET
Объем
$9,763Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on April 3, driven by BMKG observations showing midday air temperatures already reaching 32°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light rain, consistent with the city's tropical climate and urban heat island amplification that routinely pushes official station readings—such as at Halim or Cengkarno-Hatta—to 34°C even under variable cloud cover. Recent early April trends logged peaks up to 35°C before increased moisture, underscoring model conservatism in forecasts listing 31-32°C maxima. Realistic challenges include persistent afternoon showers reducing solar insolation to cap highs at 33°C or below, with end-of-day BMKG station data providing final resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Halim Perdanakusuma Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$9,763Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 8:54 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/id/jakarta/WIHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 97% implied probability to 34°C as Jakarta's highest temperature on April 3, driven by BMKG observations showing midday air temperatures already reaching 32°C amid partly cloudy conditions and light rain, consistent with the city's tropical climate and urban heat island amplification that routinely pushes official station readings—such as at Halim or Cengkarno-Hatta—to 34°C even under variable cloud cover. Recent early April trends logged peaks up to 35°C before increased moisture, underscoring model conservatism in forecasts listing 31-32°C maxima. Realistic challenges include persistent afternoon showers reducing solar insolation to cap highs at 33°C or below, with end-of-day BMKG station data providing final resolution amid inherent short-term forecast uncertainty.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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