Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20°C (99.6% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations showing daytime highs peaking near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. Current atmospheric conditions—mild spring air masses, low-level moisture capping significant warming, and 20–30% precipitation odds—align with model consensus from KMA ensembles, which project no exceedance beyond 20°C based on hourly data up to 15:00 local time reaching 21°C feels-like but actuals stabilizing lower. Historical April baselines for Busan (average highs ~16–18°C) plus recent mild trends support this positioning. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing for solar heating to push 21–22°C or unexpected rain cooling below 19°C, though official station data through evening will confirm resolution per KMA measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоСамая высокая температура в Пусане 3 апреля?
Самая высокая температура в Пусане 3 апреля?
20°C 99.6%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$17,731 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,731 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
17°C
<1%
20°C
100%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C или выше
<1%
20°C 99.6%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
17°C <1%
НОВОЕ
$17,731 Объем
НОВОЕ
$17,731 Объем
3 апр. 2026 г.
17°C
$418 Объем
<1%
20°C
$516 Объем
100%
21°C
$1,162 Объем
<1%
22°C
$1,517 Объем
<1%
23°C
$1,511 Объем
<1%
24°C или выше
$1,264 Объем
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20°C (99.6% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations showing daytime highs peaking near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. Current atmospheric conditions—mild spring air masses, low-level moisture capping significant warming, and 20–30% precipitation odds—align with model consensus from KMA ensembles, which project no exceedance beyond 20°C based on hourly data up to 15:00 local time reaching 21°C feels-like but actuals stabilizing lower. Historical April baselines for Busan (average highs ~16–18°C) plus recent mild trends support this positioning. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing for solar heating to push 21–22°C or unexpected rain cooling below 19°C, though official station data through evening will confirm resolution per KMA measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Открытие рынка: Apr 2, 2026, 8:53 PM ET
Объем
$17,731Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 8:53 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20°C (99.6% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations showing daytime highs peaking near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. Current atmospheric conditions—mild spring air masses, low-level moisture capping significant warming, and 20–30% precipitation odds—align with model consensus from KMA ensembles, which project no exceedance beyond 20°C based on hourly data up to 15:00 local time reaching 21°C feels-like but actuals stabilizing lower. Historical April baselines for Busan (average highs ~16–18°C) plus recent mild trends support this positioning. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing for solar heating to push 21–22°C or unexpected rain cooling below 19°C, though official station data through evening will confirm resolution per KMA measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Объем
$17,731Дата окончания
3 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Apr 2, 2026, 8:53 PM ETИсточник определения исхода
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Предложенный исход: Нет
Окно спора
Окончательный
Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly favors 20°C (99.6% implied probability) as Busan's highest temperature on April 3, 2026, driven by the latest Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) short-range forecasts and real-time observations showing daytime highs peaking near 20–21°C under mostly cloudy skies with light southwest winds. Current atmospheric conditions—mild spring air masses, low-level moisture capping significant warming, and 20–30% precipitation odds—align with model consensus from KMA ensembles, which project no exceedance beyond 20°C based on hourly data up to 15:00 local time reaching 21°C feels-like but actuals stabilizing lower. Historical April baselines for Busan (average highs ~16–18°C) plus recent mild trends support this positioning. Realistic challenges include prolonged clearing for solar heating to push 21–22°C or unexpected rain cooling below 19°C, though official station data through evening will confirm resolution per KMA measurements.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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