Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for the December 2026 National People’s Assembly contest because its multi-party coalition structure aligns with an electoral system that rewards broad alliances and because it retains organizational strength from the 2025 campaign cycle. The November 2025 military intervention, which suspended results and installed a one-year transitional government, removed several major opposition actors from immediate contention while leaving the coalition’s networks intact. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, and FREPASNA trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent parliamentary records. The transitional charter’s restrictions on interim leaders and the scheduled return to civilian polls under ECOWAS pressure further shape positioning, though coalition realignments or delayed institutional reforms could still alter seat projections before December.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоПобедитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау
Победитель выборов в Национальное народное собрание Гвинеи-Бисау
Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 62.6%
FLING 7.3%
ПТ 2.4%
FREPASNA 2.0%
$142,801 Объем
$142,801 Объем
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»
41%
FLING
7%
ПТ
10%
FREPASNA
2%
ПС
2%
MUNDO-GB
<1%
Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné» 62.6%
FLING 7.3%
ПТ 2.4%
FREPASNA 2.0%
$142,801 Объем
$142,801 Объем
23 нояб. 2025 г.
Платформа Республиканская «Nô Kumpu Guiné»
$40,868 Объем
41%
FLING
$12,087 Объем
7%
ПТ
$20,841 Объем
10%
FREPASNA
$23,832 Объем
2%
ПС
$23,614 Объем
2%
MUNDO-GB
$21,562 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for the December 2026 National People’s Assembly contest because its multi-party coalition structure aligns with an electoral system that rewards broad alliances and because it retains organizational strength from the 2025 campaign cycle. The November 2025 military intervention, which suspended results and installed a one-year transitional government, removed several major opposition actors from immediate contention while leaving the coalition’s networks intact. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, and FREPASNA trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent parliamentary records. The transitional charter’s restrictions on interim leaders and the scheduled return to civilian polls under ECOWAS pressure further shape positioning, though coalition realignments or delayed institutional reforms could still alter seat projections before December.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Открытие рынка: Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ET
Объем
$142,801Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for the December 2026 National People’s Assembly contest because its multi-party coalition structure aligns with an electoral system that rewards broad alliances and because it retains organizational strength from the 2025 campaign cycle. The November 2025 military intervention, which suspended results and installed a one-year transitional government, removed several major opposition actors from immediate contention while leaving the coalition’s networks intact. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, and FREPASNA trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent parliamentary records. The transitional charter’s restrictions on interim leaders and the scheduled return to civilian polls under ECOWAS pressure further shape positioning, though coalition realignments or delayed institutional reforms could still alter seat projections before December.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Guinea-Bissau on November 23, 2025.
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
This market will resolve to the political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau.
If voting in the National People's Assembly of Guinea-Bissau election does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will be resolved in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation or name appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the National People's Assembly.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Guinea-Bissau, specifically the National Election Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE) (http://www.cne.gw/).
Объем
$142,801Дата окончания
23 нояб. 2025 г.Открытие рынка
Nov 7, 2025, 11:46 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Platforma Republicana “Nô Kumpu Guiné” holds the clearest lead in trader pricing for the December 2026 National People’s Assembly contest because its multi-party coalition structure aligns with an electoral system that rewards broad alliances and because it retains organizational strength from the 2025 campaign cycle. The November 2025 military intervention, which suspended results and installed a one-year transitional government, removed several major opposition actors from immediate contention while leaving the coalition’s networks intact. Smaller parties such as PT, FLING, and FREPASNA trail because they lack comparable coalition breadth or recent parliamentary records. The transitional charter’s restrictions on interim leaders and the scheduled return to civilian polls under ECOWAS pressure further shape positioning, though coalition realignments or delayed institutional reforms could still alter seat projections before December.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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