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Google Gemini 3 на последнем экзамене человечества к 31 января?

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Google Gemini 3 на последнем экзамене человечества к 31 января?

Ended: Jan 31

Mar 31

Ended: Jan 31

Mar 31

$776,731 Объем

Jan 31, 2026
Polymarket

$776,731 Объем

Polymarket

30%+

$123,722 Объем

Да

35%

$79,735 Объем

Да

40%+

$482,576 Объем

Нет

45%

$90,698 Объем

Нет

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini 3 model with a score of at least the specified score by the specified January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.
Объем
$776,731
Дата окончания
Jan 31, 2026
Открытие рынка
Nov 4, 2025, 6:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard lists any Google Gemini 3 model with a score of at least the specified score by the specified January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard https://scale.com/leaderboard/humanitys_last_exam.

Предложенный исход: Да

Спор отсутствует

Окончательный исход: Да

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Google Gemini 3 на последнем экзамене человечества к 31 января?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "30%+" at 100%, followed by "35%" at 100%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Google Gemini 3 на последнем экзамене человечества к 31 января?" has generated $776.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 4, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Google Gemini 3 на последнем экзамене человечества к 31 января?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Google Gemini 3 на последнем экзамене человечества к 31 января?" is "30%+" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "35%" at 100%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Google Gemini 3 на последнем экзамене человечества к 31 января?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.