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Финансы·IPO

Рыночная капитализация при закрытии IPO Freddie Mac

Market icon
Финансы·IPO

Рыночная капитализация при закрытии IPO Freddie Mac

Нет IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 92.1%

150–200 млрд 1.9%

200–250 млрд 1.2%

<150 млрд <1%

Polymarket

$190,343 Объем

Нет IPO к 30 июня 2026 года 92.1%

150–200 млрд 1.9%

200–250 млрд 1.2%

<150 млрд <1%

Polymarket

$190,343 Объем

<150 млрд

$79,963 Объем

1%

150–200 млрд

$30,504 Объем

2%

200–250 млрд

$19,137 Объем

1%

250–300 млрд

$5,043 Объем

1%

300 млрд+

$10,122 Объем

<1%

Нет IPO к 30 июня 2026 года

$45,574 Объем

88%

This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices an 88.1% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization efforts amid FHFA Director Bill Pulte's February signals to maintain conservatorship and forgo near-term public offerings. Recent stock plunges to 52-week lows—current OTC market cap around $4 billion—underscore fading hopes, exacerbated by a 37 basis point surge in 30-year mortgage rates to 6.36% and political reluctance ahead of midterms, dimming recapitalization prospects. While Bill Ackman touts the GSE as "stupidly cheap" with 10x upside potential and surging capital reserves, Michael Burry views IPOs as a 2027 proposition at best. Key catalysts include Treasury-FHFA announcements, though Q1 2026 passed without progress, leaving bin probabilities negligible given valuation gaps to $150 billion+.

This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$190,343
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket overwhelmingly prices an 88.1% implied probability against a Freddie Mac IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting stalled privatization efforts amid FHFA Director Bill Pulte's February signals to maintain conservatorship and forgo near-term public offerings. Recent stock plunges to 52-week lows—current OTC market cap around $4 billion—underscore fading hopes, exacerbated by a 37 basis point surge in 30-year mortgage rates to 6.36% and political reluctance ahead of midterms, dimming recapitalization prospects. While Bill Ackman touts the GSE as "stupidly cheap" with 10x upside potential and surging capital reserves, Michael Burry views IPOs as a 2027 proposition at best. Key catalysts include Treasury-FHFA announcements, though Q1 2026 passed without progress, leaving bin probabilities negligible given valuation gaps to $150 billion+.

This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$190,343
Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.
Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve based on Freddie Mac's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Freddie Mac’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.

Часто задаваемые вопросы

«Рыночная капитализация при закрытии IPO Freddie Mac» — это рынок прогнозов на Polymarket с 6 возможными исходами, где трейдеры покупают и продают акции на основе своих прогнозов. Текущий лидирующий исход — «Нет IPO к 30 июня 2026 года» с 88%, за ним следует «150–200 млрд» с 2%. Цены отражают вероятности сообщества в реальном времени. Например, акция по цене 88¢ означает, что рынок коллективно оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 88%. Эти коэффициенты постоянно меняются. Акции правильного исхода можно обменять на $1 каждую при разрешении рынка.

На сегодняшний день «Рыночная капитализация при закрытии IPO Freddie Mac» сгенерировал общий объём торгов $190.3K с момента запуска рынка Sep 23, 2025. Такой уровень активности отражает высокую вовлечённость сообщества Polymarket и гарантирует, что текущие коэффициенты формируются широким кругом участников рынка. Ты можешь отслеживать движение цен в реальном времени и торговать любым исходом прямо на этой странице.

Чтобы торговать на «Рыночная капитализация при закрытии IPO Freddie Mac», просмотри 6 доступных исходов на этой странице. Каждый исход показывает текущую цену, представляющую подразумеваемую вероятность рынка. Чтобы занять позицию, выбери исход, который считаешь наиболее вероятным, выбери «Да» для торговли в его пользу или «Нет» для торговли против, введи сумму и нажми «Торговать». Если твой выбранный исход окажется верным, твои акции «Да» принесут $1 каждая. Если нет — $0. Ты также можешь продать акции до разрешения.

Текущий фаворит для «Рыночная капитализация при закрытии IPO Freddie Mac» — «Нет IPO к 30 июня 2026 года» с 88%, что означает, что рынок оценивает вероятность этого исхода в 88%. Следующий ближайший исход — «150–200 млрд» с 2%. Эти коэффициенты обновляются в реальном времени по мере покупки и продажи акций. Заходи чаще или добавь страницу в закладки.

Правила разрешения «Рыночная капитализация при закрытии IPO Freddie Mac» точно определяют, что должно произойти, чтобы каждый исход был объявлен победителем, включая официальные источники данных, используемые для определения результата. Ты можешь просмотреть полные критерии разрешения в разделе «Правила» на этой странице над комментариями. Мы рекомендуем внимательно прочитать правила перед торговлей, так как они определяют точные условия, особые случаи и источники.