Congressional passage of a 10-day clean extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17, pushing the deadline to April 30, underscores strong bipartisan commitment to avert lapse of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority, driving trader consensus to 96% for reauthorization before expiration. National security imperatives, emphasized by intelligence agencies for counterterrorism and espionage monitoring, have historically trumped reform demands like warrant requirements for Americans' incidental data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal via the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act. President Trump's public push for swift, unchanged extension further bolsters confidence. Realistic risks include prolonged House-Senate negotiations stalling a longer-term bill, procedural holds by privacy advocates such as Sens. Wyden or Lee, or veto threats, though institutional pressures favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоРаздел 702 FISA повторно авторизован до истечения срока его действия?
Раздел 702 FISA повторно авторизован до истечения срока его действия?
Да
$92,655 Объем
$92,655 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
Да
$92,655 Объем
$92,655 Объем
19 апр. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 10-day clean extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17, pushing the deadline to April 30, underscores strong bipartisan commitment to avert lapse of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority, driving trader consensus to 96% for reauthorization before expiration. National security imperatives, emphasized by intelligence agencies for counterterrorism and espionage monitoring, have historically trumped reform demands like warrant requirements for Americans' incidental data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal via the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act. President Trump's public push for swift, unchanged extension further bolsters confidence. Realistic risks include prolonged House-Senate negotiations stalling a longer-term bill, procedural holds by privacy advocates such as Sens. Wyden or Lee, or veto threats, though institutional pressures favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Объем
$92,655Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Congressional passage of a 10-day clean extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17, pushing the deadline to April 30, underscores strong bipartisan commitment to avert lapse of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority, driving trader consensus to 96% for reauthorization before expiration. National security imperatives, emphasized by intelligence agencies for counterterrorism and espionage monitoring, have historically trumped reform demands like warrant requirements for Americans' incidental data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal via the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act. President Trump's public push for swift, unchanged extension further bolsters confidence. Realistic risks include prolonged House-Senate negotiations stalling a longer-term bill, procedural holds by privacy advocates such as Sens. Wyden or Lee, or veto threats, though institutional pressures favor continuity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if legislation that reauthorizes FISA Title VII, including Section 702, is passed by both chambers of the U.S. Congress and signed into law by April 19, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Qualifying legislation includes Public Law 118-49.
Qualifying legislation may include joint resolutions and must pass both the House and the Senate, and must be signed by the President, become law without signature while Congress remains in session, or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to "No".
The primary resolution sources for this market will be Congress.gov’s legislation tracker (https://www.congress.gov/bill/119th-congress/house-bill/22), the Library of Congress (congress.gov), and other official information from the government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$92,655Дата окончания
19 апр. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Mar 27, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Congressional passage of a 10-day clean extension of FISA Section 702 on April 17, pushing the deadline to April 30, underscores strong bipartisan commitment to avert lapse of this key foreign intelligence surveillance authority, driving trader consensus to 96% for reauthorization before expiration. National security imperatives, emphasized by intelligence agencies for counterterrorism and espionage monitoring, have historically trumped reform demands like warrant requirements for Americans' incidental data collection, as seen in the 2024 two-year renewal via the Reforming Intelligence and Securing America Act. President Trump's public push for swift, unchanged extension further bolsters confidence. Realistic risks include prolonged House-Senate negotiations stalling a longer-term bill, procedural holds by privacy advocates such as Sens. Wyden or Lee, or veto threats, though institutional pressures favor continuity.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
Часто задаваемые вопросы