Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any U.S. Congress member resigning or announcing departure over Jeffrey Epstein files since their unsealing in January 2024. No new documents, DOJ investigations, or ethics probes have emerged in the past 30 days implicating sitting lawmakers with credible misconduct, despite initial mentions of past associations lacking current relevance. Recent denials from members like Rep. Robert Garcia and lack of partisan calls for resignation underscore minimal political pressure. With April 30 approaching and no hearings or scandals on horizon, trader consensus sees negligible risk of an "out" outcome barring late-breaking revelations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
Да
NEW
NEW
Apr 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any U.S. Congress member resigning or announcing departure over Jeffrey Epstein files since their unsealing in January 2024. No new documents, DOJ investigations, or ethics probes have emerged in the past 30 days implicating sitting lawmakers with credible misconduct, despite initial mentions of past associations lacking current relevance. Recent denials from members like Rep. Robert Garcia and lack of partisan calls for resignation underscore minimal political pressure. With April 30 approaching and no hearings or scandals on horizon, trader consensus sees negligible risk of an "out" outcome barring late-breaking revelations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ET
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any U.S. Congress member resigning or announcing departure over Jeffrey Epstein files since their unsealing in January 2024. No new documents, DOJ investigations, or ethics probes have emerged in the past 30 days implicating sitting lawmakers with credible misconduct, despite initial mentions of past associations lacking current relevance. Recent denials from members like Rep. Robert Garcia and lack of partisan calls for resignation underscore minimal political pressure. With April 30 approaching and no hearings or scandals on horizon, trader consensus sees negligible risk of an "out" outcome barring late-breaking revelations.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any sitting member of the United States Congress resigns or is removed from their congressional seat and the cause of their departure is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government during this market’s timeframe. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
A qualifying resignation or removal must be caused by information included in newly released Epstein-related files. The cause of resignation or removal may be established through official statements from the departing Member of Congress or through a clear consensus of credible reporting. Resignations or removals driven by information already public before November 18, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
An announcement of resignation or removal made before April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET will qualify, even if the departure becomes effective afterward.
Only the resignation of a U.S. representative or Senator will count. The resignation or removal of a delegate to congress who does not hold full voting powers, e.g. Stacey Plaskett, will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official statements from the departing Member of Congress and a consensus of credible reporting.
Объем
$6,145Дата окончания
Apr 30, 2026Открытие рынка
Nov 20, 2025, 5:59 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Traders overwhelmingly back "No" at 91.5% implied probability, reflecting the absence of any U.S. Congress member resigning or announcing departure over Jeffrey Epstein files since their unsealing in January 2024. No new documents, DOJ investigations, or ethics probes have emerged in the past 30 days implicating sitting lawmakers with credible misconduct, despite initial mentions of past associations lacking current relevance. Recent denials from members like Rep. Robert Garcia and lack of partisan calls for resignation underscore minimal political pressure. With April 30 approaching and no hearings or scandals on horizon, trader consensus sees negligible risk of an "out" outcome barring late-breaking revelations.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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