Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72% implied probability that Elon Musk's net worth remains below $640 billion per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, reflecting his current $637 billion valuation after a $7.37 billion daily decline. This positioning stems primarily from Tesla's (TSLA) share price weakness, closing at $361.83 on March 27—down over 15% from January peaks near $430—eroding value from Musk's ~11% stake plus 304 million exercisable options, partially offset by his 44% holding in the SpaceX-xAI merged entity valued at $1.03 trillion post-February deal. With markets reopening Monday, intraday TSLA trading and private valuation adjustments represent key near-term catalysts amid broader EV sector headwinds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено<640 млрд 72%
640–650 млрд 20%
650–660 млрд 4.6%
670-680 млрд 2.8%
$1,097,565 Объем
$1,097,565 Объем
<640 млрд
72%
640–650 млрд
20%
650–660 млрд
5%
660-670 млрд
2%
670-680 млрд
3%
680-690 млрд
1%
690-700 млрд
1%
700-710 млрд
1%
710 млрд+
1%
<640 млрд 72%
640–650 млрд 20%
650–660 млрд 4.6%
670-680 млрд 2.8%
$1,097,565 Объем
$1,097,565 Объем
<640 млрд
72%
640–650 млрд
20%
650–660 млрд
5%
660-670 млрд
2%
670-680 млрд
3%
680-690 млрд
1%
690-700 млрд
1%
700-710 млрд
1%
710 млрд+
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Открытие рынка: Feb 25, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the Bloomberg Billionaires Index Elon Musk Profile (https://www.bloomberg.com/billionaires/profiles/elon-r-musk/?embedded-checkout=true), specifically the datapoint for March 31, 2026, once the data is finalized. If this resolution source is not available, another credible resolution source will be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 72% implied probability that Elon Musk's net worth remains below $640 billion per the Bloomberg Billionaires Index on March 31, 2026, reflecting his current $637 billion valuation after a $7.37 billion daily decline. This positioning stems primarily from Tesla's (TSLA) share price weakness, closing at $361.83 on March 27—down over 15% from January peaks near $430—eroding value from Musk's ~11% stake plus 304 million exercisable options, partially offset by his 44% holding in the SpaceX-xAI merged entity valued at $1.03 trillion post-February deal. With markets reopening Monday, intraday TSLA trading and private valuation adjustments represent key near-term catalysts amid broader EV sector headwinds.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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