The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19 meeting, with the deposit facility rate remaining at 2.00%, amid an upward revision to 2026 headline inflation forecasts at 2.6%—driven by energy price surges from the ongoing Middle East conflict. ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized agility in policy response, signaling readiness for hikes if inflation persists above the 2% target, while a Reuters poll of economists on March 25 confirmed broad expectations for unchanged rates through 2026. These developments, including February's Eurozone inflation acceleration to 1.9%, underpin trader consensus implying an 82% probability against a rate cut this year, prioritizing inflation stabilization over easing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$20,528 Объем
$20,528 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$20,528 Объем
$20,528 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19 meeting, with the deposit facility rate remaining at 2.00%, amid an upward revision to 2026 headline inflation forecasts at 2.6%—driven by energy price surges from the ongoing Middle East conflict. ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized agility in policy response, signaling readiness for hikes if inflation persists above the 2% target, while a Reuters poll of economists on March 25 confirmed broad expectations for unchanged rates through 2026. These developments, including February's Eurozone inflation acceleration to 1.9%, underpin trader consensus implying an 82% probability against a rate cut this year, prioritizing inflation stabilization over easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$20,528Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19 meeting, with the deposit facility rate remaining at 2.00%, amid an upward revision to 2026 headline inflation forecasts at 2.6%—driven by energy price surges from the ongoing Middle East conflict. ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized agility in policy response, signaling readiness for hikes if inflation persists above the 2% target, while a Reuters poll of economists on March 25 confirmed broad expectations for unchanged rates through 2026. These developments, including February's Eurozone inflation acceleration to 1.9%, underpin trader consensus implying an 82% probability against a rate cut this year, prioritizing inflation stabilization over easing.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$20,528Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The European Central Bank's Governing Council held key interest rates steady at its March 19 meeting, with the deposit facility rate remaining at 2.00%, amid an upward revision to 2026 headline inflation forecasts at 2.6%—driven by energy price surges from the ongoing Middle East conflict. ECB President Christine Lagarde emphasized agility in policy response, signaling readiness for hikes if inflation persists above the 2% target, while a Reuters poll of economists on March 25 confirmed broad expectations for unchanged rates through 2026. These developments, including February's Eurozone inflation acceleration to 1.9%, underpin trader consensus implying an 82% probability against a rate cut this year, prioritizing inflation stabilization over easing.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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