The ECB's March 19 monetary policy decision to hold key interest rates steady at 2%, coupled with upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts at 2.6% due to Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges, has solidified trader consensus for no rate cut this year. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent vigilance amid eurozone GDP growth projections slashed to 0.9%, while a March 25 Reuters economist poll confirms expectations of unchanged policy through 2026. Sticky inflation above the 2% target, rising oil costs for four weeks, and even bets on potential hikes outweigh easing pressures, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of persistent inflationary risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоДа
$20,556 Объем
$20,556 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
Да
$20,556 Объем
$20,556 Объем
31 дек. 2026 г.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ECB's March 19 monetary policy decision to hold key interest rates steady at 2%, coupled with upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts at 2.6% due to Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges, has solidified trader consensus for no rate cut this year. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent vigilance amid eurozone GDP growth projections slashed to 0.9%, while a March 25 Reuters economist poll confirms expectations of unchanged policy through 2026. Sticky inflation above the 2% target, rising oil costs for four weeks, and even bets on potential hikes outweigh easing pressures, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of persistent inflationary risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Объем
$20,556Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ECB's March 19 monetary policy decision to hold key interest rates steady at 2%, coupled with upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts at 2.6% due to Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges, has solidified trader consensus for no rate cut this year. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent vigilance amid eurozone GDP growth projections slashed to 0.9%, while a March 25 Reuters economist poll confirms expectations of unchanged policy through 2026. Sticky inflation above the 2% target, rising oil costs for four weeks, and even bets on potential hikes outweigh easing pressures, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of persistent inflationary risks.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Объем
$20,556Дата окончания
31 дек. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ECB's March 19 monetary policy decision to hold key interest rates steady at 2%, coupled with upward revisions to 2026 inflation forecasts at 2.6% due to Middle East conflict-driven energy price surges, has solidified trader consensus for no rate cut this year. ECB President Lagarde stressed data-dependent vigilance amid eurozone GDP growth projections slashed to 0.9%, while a March 25 Reuters economist poll confirms expectations of unchanged policy through 2026. Sticky inflation above the 2% target, rising oil costs for four weeks, and even bets on potential hikes outweigh easing pressures, reflecting skin-in-the-game assessments of persistent inflationary risks.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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