Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow, or official timeline announcement as of mid-April. Recent capital raises—a $5 billion equity round in February at a $134 billion valuation and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January—have reduced urgency for public markets, enabling the AI data platform to prioritize growth in its Lakehouse architecture and Genie AI assistant amid a cautious IPO environment. March's disclosure of audited GAAP financials indicates preparation, but standard six-to-twelve-month lead times point to a later 2026 debut. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 or expedited SEC review accelerating toward Q2.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · ОбновленоDatabricks IPO Закрытие рыночной капитализации
Databricks IPO Закрытие рыночной капитализации
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 90.5%
250 млрд+ 2.9%
175–200 млрд 1.9%
125–150 млрд 1.9%
$371,820 Объем
$371,820 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
1%
100–125 млрд
1%
125–150 млрд
2%
150–175 млрд
1%
175–200 млрд
2%
200–250 млрд
1%
250 млрд+
3%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
91%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года 90.5%
250 млрд+ 2.9%
175–200 млрд 1.9%
125–150 млрд 1.9%
$371,820 Объем
$371,820 Объем
30 июн. 2026 г.
<100 млрд
$32,447 Объем
1%
100–125 млрд
$38,807 Объем
1%
125–150 млрд
$25,374 Объем
2%
150–175 млрд
$59,055 Объем
1%
175–200 млрд
$57,421 Объем
2%
200–250 млрд
$19,385 Объем
1%
250 млрд+
$125,400 Объем
3%
Нет IPO до 30 июня 2026 года
$13,930 Объем
91%
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow, or official timeline announcement as of mid-April. Recent capital raises—a $5 billion equity round in February at a $134 billion valuation and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January—have reduced urgency for public markets, enabling the AI data platform to prioritize growth in its Lakehouse architecture and Genie AI assistant amid a cautious IPO environment. March's disclosure of audited GAAP financials indicates preparation, but standard six-to-twelve-month lead times point to a later 2026 debut. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 or expedited SEC review accelerating toward Q2.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Открытие рынка: Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ET
Объем
$371,820Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow, or official timeline announcement as of mid-April. Recent capital raises—a $5 billion equity round in February at a $134 billion valuation and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January—have reduced urgency for public markets, enabling the AI data platform to prioritize growth in its Lakehouse architecture and Genie AI assistant amid a cautious IPO environment. March's disclosure of audited GAAP financials indicates preparation, but standard six-to-twelve-month lead times point to a later 2026 debut. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 or expedited SEC review accelerating toward Q2.
This market will resolve based on Databricks' market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by June 30, 2026".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Databricks’ first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Объем
$371,820Дата окончания
30 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Sep 22, 2025, 8:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 90.5% implied probability to no Databricks IPO by June 30, 2026, reflecting the absence of any S-1 filing, roadshow, or official timeline announcement as of mid-April. Recent capital raises—a $5 billion equity round in February at a $134 billion valuation and $1.8 billion in debt financing in January—have reduced urgency for public markets, enabling the AI data platform to prioritize growth in its Lakehouse architecture and Genie AI assistant amid a cautious IPO environment. March's disclosure of audited GAAP financials indicates preparation, but standard six-to-twelve-month lead times point to a later 2026 debut. Realistic challenges include a surprise confidential S-1 or expedited SEC review accelerating toward Q2.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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Не доверяй внешним ссылкам.
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