Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено$20,755 Объем
2 июн. 2026 г.
Майк Томпсон
99%
Эрик Джонс
95%
Тревор Мэррелл
15%
Хит Фулкерсон
9%
Мэнди Гусар
6%
Шэрон Браун
6%
Лори Маккензи
4%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
45%
$20,755 Объем
Майк Томпсон
$6,502 Объем
99%
Эрик Джонс
$4,052 Объем
95%
Тревор Мэррелл
$6,288 Объем
15%
Хит Фулкерсон
$252 Объем
9%
Мэнди Гусар
$728 Объем
6%
Шэрон Браун
$1,605 Объем
6%
Лори Маккензи
$710 Объем
4%
Джон Уэсли Тайлер
$618 Объем
45%
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Открытие рынка: Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ET
Объем
$20,755Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
This market will resolve according to the two candidates who receive the most votes in the primary, regardless of party, to contest the seat for California's 4th congressional district in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The California primary is scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominees are announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including https://www.sos.ca.gov/.
Any replacement of the nominees before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Объем
$20,755Дата окончания
2 июн. 2026 г.Открытие рынка
Feb 26, 2026, 5:37 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Incumbent Rep. Mike Thompson (D) leads early fundraising with $2.6 million cash on hand in California's 4th Congressional District top-two primary on June 2, 2026, but faces a formidable challenge from Eric Jones (D), who raised $3.2 million emphasizing affordability and economic opportunity for young voters, endorsed by Our Revolution. Fragmented Republicans—Mandy Ghusar, Raymond Riehle, and others with under $110,000 raised each—could allow both Democrats to advance in the D+17 district redrawn via Proposition 50 in November 2025. No public polls exist post-March 31 FEC reports; early voting begins May 4, with trader consensus focused on Democratic intra-party competition and potential GOP consolidation amid California's voter-nominated primary system.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket. Это не является торговой рекомендацией и не влияет на то, как разрешается этот рынок. · Обновлено
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