Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by recent polls consistently showing it ahead with 29-31% support. Surveys from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links—conducted mid-March with samples over 1,000—place GERB-SDS second at 20-22%, followed by PP-DB at 12-13% and DPS around 10%, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years after the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation. PB's surge reflects backing from ex-President Rumen Radev's political circle and anti-establishment sentiment, though low turnout projections (around 51%) and potential coalition complexities could still shift dynamics before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоPB 89%
GERB–SDS 10%
БСП-Объединённые левые <1%
PP–DB <1%
$23,469 Объем
$23,469 Объем
Apr 19, 2026
PB
89%
GERB–SDS
10%
БСП-Объединённые левые
1%
PP–DB
1%
DPS
1%
ITN
<1%
Velichie
<1%
APS
<1%
MECH
<1%
Возрождение
<1%
PB 89%
GERB–SDS 10%
БСП-Объединённые левые <1%
PP–DB <1%
$23,469 Объем
$23,469 Объем
Apr 19, 2026
PB
$4,995 Объем
89%
GERB–SDS
$2,428 Объем
10%
БСП-Объединённые левые
$2,747 Объем
1%
PP–DB
$2,600 Объем
1%
DPS
$2,134 Объем
1%
ITN
$1,863 Объем
<1%
Velichie
$1,833 Объем
<1%
APS
$1,575 Объем
<1%
MECH
$1,529 Объем
<1%
Возрождение
$1,765 Объем
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by recent polls consistently showing it ahead with 29-31% support. Surveys from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links—conducted mid-March with samples over 1,000—place GERB-SDS second at 20-22%, followed by PP-DB at 12-13% and DPS around 10%, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years after the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation. PB's surge reflects backing from ex-President Rumen Radev's political circle and anti-establishment sentiment, though low turnout projections (around 51%) and potential coalition complexities could still shift dynamics before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Открытие рынка: Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ET
Объем
$23,469Дата окончания
Apr 19, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by recent polls consistently showing it ahead with 29-31% support. Surveys from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links—conducted mid-March with samples over 1,000—place GERB-SDS second at 20-22%, followed by PP-DB at 12-13% and DPS around 10%, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years after the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation. PB's surge reflects backing from ex-President Rumen Radev's political circle and anti-establishment sentiment, though low turnout projections (around 51%) and potential coalition complexities could still shift dynamics before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Bulgaria on April 19, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the greatest number of seats in the Bulgarian National Assembly as a result of this election.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties or coalitions for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition that received a greater number of valid votes. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. If no abbreviation is listed, the listed name will be used.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Bulgarian Parliament. If a named coalition dissolves, this market will resolve based on the seat total of the constituent party within that coalition that held the largest number of seats before the election.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Tsentralna Izbiratelna Komisia) (https://www.cik.bg/).
Объем
$23,469Дата окончания
Apr 19, 2026Открытие рынка
Mar 13, 2026, 1:57 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Progressive Bulgaria (PB) leads Polymarket trader consensus at 88% implied probability to secure the most seats in Bulgaria's April 19 snap parliamentary election, driven by recent polls consistently showing it ahead with 29-31% support. Surveys from Alpha Research, Trend, and Market Links—conducted mid-March with samples over 1,000—place GERB-SDS second at 20-22%, followed by PP-DB at 12-13% and DPS around 10%, amid voter fatigue from eight elections in five years after the December 2025 Zhelyazkov government resignation. PB's surge reflects backing from ex-President Rumen Radev's political circle and anti-establishment sentiment, though low turnout projections (around 51%) and potential coalition complexities could still shift dynamics before election day.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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