Polymarket traders assign a 99% implied probability to Apple as the second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026 close, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on its dominant $3.66 trillion valuation—firmly ahead of Alphabet's $3.31 trillion by over $340 billion and Microsoft's $2.65 trillion. This positioning stems from Apple's steady share price resilience amid Nvidia's unchallenged $4.07 trillion lead in AI-driven gains, having reclaimed #2 from Alphabet after a brief January overtake. With markets nearing quarter-end resolution, the wide gap to challengers like Saudi Aramco ($1.74 trillion) or Tesla ($1.36 trillion) leaves scant room for shifts barring an improbable multi-hundred-billion-dollar surge in a rival's trading volume or a sharp Apple drawdown.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоВторая по величине компания в конце марта?
Вторая по величине компания в конце марта?
Apple 99.2%
Alphabet <1%
Microsoft <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$2,575,745 Объем
$2,575,745 Объем

Apple
99%

Alphabet
1%

Microsoft
<1%

NVIDIA
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Apple 99.2%
Alphabet <1%
Microsoft <1%
NVIDIA <1%
$2,575,745 Объем
$2,575,745 Объем

Apple
99%

Alphabet
1%

Microsoft
<1%

NVIDIA
<1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Tesla
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Dec 23, 2025, 4:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders assign a 99% implied probability to Apple as the second-largest company by market capitalization at March 31, 2026 close, reflecting skin-in-the-game consensus on its dominant $3.66 trillion valuation—firmly ahead of Alphabet's $3.31 trillion by over $340 billion and Microsoft's $2.65 trillion. This positioning stems from Apple's steady share price resilience amid Nvidia's unchallenged $4.07 trillion lead in AI-driven gains, having reclaimed #2 from Alphabet after a brief January overtake. With markets nearing quarter-end resolution, the wide gap to challengers like Saudi Aramco ($1.74 trillion) or Tesla ($1.36 trillion) leaves scant room for shifts barring an improbable multi-hundred-billion-dollar surge in a rival's trading volume or a sharp Apple drawdown.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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