Polymarket traders price a 64.5% implied probability for Apple as the second-largest company by market cap at April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.66 trillion valuation versus Alphabet's $3.31 trillion in third place, with Nvidia firmly leading at $4.07 trillion. Apple's positioning stems from resilient services revenue growth—up double-digits recently—and aggressive share buybacks amid broader 2026 tech sector volatility, where YTD declines hit -10% while insulating it from iPhone cycle risks. Alphabet trails despite AI advancements, weighed by a 7% share price drop over the past month on ad revenue softness and regulatory scrutiny. Nvidia's 8.3% odds for second reflect potential AI hype cooldown risks, with Apple's fiscal Q2 earnings around late April as a pivotal catalyst ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · ОбновленоApple 65%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 8.3%
Microsoft 1.0%
$696,703 Объем
$696,703 Объем

Apple
65%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
8%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
Apple 65%
Alphabet 26%
NVIDIA 8.3%
Microsoft 1.0%
$696,703 Объем
$696,703 Объем

Apple
65%

Alphabet
26%

NVIDIA
8%

Microsoft
1%

Tesla
1%

Saudi Aramco
<1%

Amazon
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Открытие рынка: Mar 20, 2026, 6:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Polymarket traders price a 64.5% implied probability for Apple as the second-largest company by market cap at April 30 close, reflecting its current $3.66 trillion valuation versus Alphabet's $3.31 trillion in third place, with Nvidia firmly leading at $4.07 trillion. Apple's positioning stems from resilient services revenue growth—up double-digits recently—and aggressive share buybacks amid broader 2026 tech sector volatility, where YTD declines hit -10% while insulating it from iPhone cycle risks. Alphabet trails despite AI advancements, weighed by a 7% share price drop over the past month on ad revenue softness and regulatory scrutiny. Nvidia's 8.3% odds for second reflect potential AI hype cooldown risks, with Apple's fiscal Q2 earnings around late April as a pivotal catalyst ahead of resolution.
Экспериментальная сводка, созданная ИИ на основе данных Polymarket · Обновлено
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