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Tarifas previsões e probabilidades

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Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

1%

$325K Vol.

$90.3K Liq.

4

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

ECB Interest Rates: June 2026

99%

25 bps Increase

$829K Vol.

$66.9K today

$156K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 21 horas

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

ECB Interest Rates: July 2026

89%

No change

$39.4K Vol.

$79.3K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

99%

No change

$76M Vol.

$3M today

$3M Liq.

1

Ends em 7 dias

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

93%

No change

$9M Vol.

$323K today

$835K Liq.

1

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

Bank of Japan Decision in June?

98%

25 bps increase

$408K Vol.

$95.2K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

Fed Decision in September?

Fed Decision in September?

74%

No change

$209K Vol.

$334K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Bank of England decision in June?

Bank of England decision in June?

98%

No change

$272K Vol.

$41.1K Liq.

Ends em 8 dias

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

Bank of Japan Decision in July?

90%

No change

$3.9K Vol.

$11.8K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Bank of England decision in July?

Bank of England decision in July?

73%

No change

$4.5K Vol.

$5.6K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

Reserve Bank of Australia Decision in August

69%

No change

$973 Vol.

$15.2K Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

People's Bank of China rate change in June?

People's Bank of China rate change in June?

94%

No Change

$401 Vol.

$1.0K Liq.

Ends em 21 dias

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

Bank of Mexico Decision in August?

74%

No change

$7.2K Vol.

$2.0K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

Predicted Fed rate under each Fed Chair

88%

Kevin Warsh & Rate > 2.5%

$159K Vol.

$5.3K Liq.

Ends em 7 meses

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

Fed decisions (Apr-Jul)

94%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$54.2K Vol.

$48.1K Liq.

Ends em cerca de 2 meses

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

Fed decisions (Mar-Jun)

99%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2M Vol.

$67.8K today

$126K Liq.

Ends em 7 dias

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

Fed decisions (Jun-Sep)

71%

Pause–Pause–Pause

$2.2K Vol.

$74.1K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

What will Fed Rate hit before 2027?

22%

↓ 3.25%

$2M Vol.

$118K Liq.

10

Ends em 7 meses

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

South African Reserve Bank decision in July?

85%

50+ bps hike

$1.3K Vol.

$489 Liq.

Ends em cerca de 1 mês

Bank of Israel decision in August?

Bank of Israel decision in August?

50%

25 bps cut

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Tarifas.

Polymarket currently hosts 131 active markets for Tarifas that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $90.5M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed Decision in June?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed Decision in June?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 99% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Tarifas predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.