Fed decision in April?

Fed decision in April?

98%

No change

$49M Vol.

$2M today

$4M Liq.

4

Ends em 25 dias

Fed Decision in June?

Fed Decision in June?

91%

No change

$5M Vol.

$81.0K today

$1M Liq.

Ends em 2 meses

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?

21%

April 30

$586K Vol.

$64.4K today

$102K Liq.

46

Ends em 26 dias

Fed Decision in July?

Fed Decision in July?

79%

No change

$3M Vol.

$310K Liq.

Ends em 4 meses

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

What will the Fed rate be at the end of 2026?

25%

3.75%

$6M Vol.

$291K Liq.

5

Ends em 8 meses

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

White House # posts April 7 - April 14, 2026?

45%

180-199

$5.4K Vol.

$43.1K Liq.

Ends em 10 dias

Next leader out of power before 2027?

Next leader out of power before 2027?

63%

Orbán - Hungary PM

$4M Vol.

$356K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms

52%

Democrats Sweep

$4M Vol.

$572K Liq.

138

Ends em 7 meses

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?

8%

$38.3K Vol.

$22.2K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

White House # posts April 3 - April 10, 2026?

33%

160-179

$20.0K Vol.

$15.5K Liq.

Ends em 6 dias

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

What will the U.S./Israel target in Iran by March 31?

100%

Isfahan nuclear facility

$1M Vol.

$393K today

$2M Liq.

359

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Parliamentary Election: Margin of Victory

45%

PB 5-10%

$20.7K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

Ends em 15 dias

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

White House # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

53%

180-199

$57.7K Vol.

$21.6K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?

4%

$0 Vol.

$2.2K Liq.

6

Ends em 3 meses

UK election called by...?

UK election called by...?

3%

June 30, 2026

$740K Vol.

$6.2K Liq.

13

Ends há 3 meses

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

Zelenskyy # posts March 31 - April 7, 2026?

50%

60-79

$3.1K Vol.

$6.0K Liq.

Ends em 3 dias

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

Which party wins 2028 US Presidential Election?

60%

Democratic

$2M Vol.

$864K Liq.

63

Ends em mais de 2 anos

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

Will Republicans lose a seat in the US Senate for any state Trump won in 2024?

88%

$0 Vol.

$8.5K Liq.

2

Ends em 7 meses

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?

2%

$58.9K Vol.

$15.8K Liq.

4

Ends em 7 meses

Hungary Parliamentary Election:  Popular Vote Winner

Hungary Parliamentary Election: Popular Vote Winner

77%

Tisza

$296K Vol.

$81.4K Liq.

1

Ends em 8 dias

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Pontos: PolíTica.

Polymarket currently hosts 158 active markets for Pontos: PolíTica that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Fed decision in April?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $76.4M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Fed decision in April?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Fed decision in April?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 98% chance to No change. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Pontos: PolíTica predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.