Iran leadership change by...?

Iran leadership change by...?

40%

December 31

$6M Vol.

$148K today

$324K Liq.

890

Ends em 9 meses

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

11%

$3M Vol.

$55.1K today

$340K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

Xi Jinping out before 2027?

7%

$8M Vol.

$189K Liq.

705

Ends em 9 meses

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026?

17%

$323K Vol.

$31.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 9 meses

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?

3%

$1M Vol.

$81.9K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by...?

54%

December 31

$999K Vol.

$29.4K Liq.

51

Ends em 3 meses

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

Xi Jinping out by June 30?

2%

$2M Vol.

$99.8K Liq.

Ends em 3 meses

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

Hamad bin Isa Al Khalifa out as leader of Bahrain?

8%

$131K Vol.

$14.0K Liq.

11

Ends em 3 meses

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?

70%

$79.5K Vol.

$17.3K Liq.

16

Ends em 9 meses

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by...?

85%

April 15

$42.5K Vol.

$17.4K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?

7%

$58.3K Vol.

$11.9K Liq.

Ends em 9 meses

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by...?

9%

April 30

$27.3K Vol.

$9.3K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

Iran leadership change or US x Iran ceasefire first?

24%

Leadership Change

$36.2K Vol.

$10.0K Liq.

7

Ends em 9 meses

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by...?

41%

June 30, 2026

$424K Vol.

$30.8K Liq.

20

Ends há 6 dias

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

Masoud Pezeshkian out by...?

37%

December 31

$515K Vol.

$62.4K Liq.

29

Ends em 9 meses

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

Clavicular arrested again by April 30?

62%

$1.9K Vol.

$35 Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?

55%

$45.4K Vol.

$12.5K Liq.

5

Ends em 3 meses

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by...?

25%

December 31, 2026

$105K Vol.

$27.1K Liq.

31

Ends em 9 meses

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

Another US Joint Chiefs of Staff member out by April 30?

33%

$325 Vol.

$3.9K Liq.

Ends em 24 dias

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

Gustavo Petro out as leader of Colombia by...?

94%

December 31

$154K Vol.

$32.8K Liq.

16

Ends em 3 meses

Frequently Asked Questions

Polymarket is the world’s largest prediction market, where you can stay informed and profit from your knowledge by trading on things related to breaking news, politics, sports, elections, crypto, finance, tech, culture, including topics like Deter.

Polymarket currently hosts 141 active markets for Deter that lets you track or trade on predictions like “Iran leadership change by...?”. Whether you are tracking widely debated events or niche outcomes, the platform aggregates real-time odds based on over $23.2M in trading volume, providing a comprehensive view of fan and investor sentiment.

Each polymarket is a yes/no question, like “Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?”. You buy shares in “yes” or “no” outcomes. Prices reflect crowd-sourced odds and probabilities. For example, if yes is at 30 cents, that’s a 30% chance. Markets resolve based on official results. For multi-outcome events, like “Iran leadership change by...?,” you simply trade on the specific outcome you think will win.

As of today, the most active market is “Xi Jinping out before 2027?,” where the crowd is currently assigning a 93% chance to No. These odds update in real-time as new information emerges and users trade, offering a dynamic snapshot of what the market believes will happen compared to traditional bookmaker odds.

It cuts through the noise. Unlike polls or punditry, Polymarket shows you real-time odds on Deter predictions backed by financial conviction that are often faster and more accurate than experts or surveys. You get an unbiased view of what thousands of traders think will actually happen, often more accurate than polls. Plus, you can trade shares and potentially profit if your predictions are spot on.