Market icon
Geopolítica·Presidência Trump

Will Trump sanction Russia before March?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Presidência Trump

Will Trump sanction Russia before March?

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$394,677 Vol.

<1% acaso
Polymarket

$394,677 Vol.

On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions). The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions).

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$394,677
Data de Término
28 fev 2025
Mercado Aberto
Jan 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions). The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions). The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions.

The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions).

The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Volume
$394,677
Data de Término
28 fev 2025
Mercado Aberto
Jan 22, 2025, 11:29 AM ET

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
On January 22, Donald Trump published a post on Truth Social, stating that Putin should make a deal to end the war in Ukraine, or the United States would impose new sanctions on Russia. You can read that post here: https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/113872782548137314 This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States officially imposes new sanctions of any form against Russia between January 21 and February 28, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Sanctions could include measures like tariffs, trade restrictions, financial penalties, diplomatic expulsions, travel bans, restrictions on specific individuals, or any other actions that are commonly recognized as sanctions. The passage of an official act/executive order authorizing sanctions on Russia within this market's timeframe will count toward a "Yes" resolution, even if those sanctions do not come into effect until after this market's resolution date (e.g. https://www.state.gov/division-for-counter-threat-finance-and-sanctions/ukraine-and-russia-sanctions). The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado proposto: No

Sem contestação

Resultado final: No

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump sanction Russia before March?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 0% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 0¢, the market collectively assigns a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump sanction Russia before March?" has generated $394.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 22, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump sanction Russia before March?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump sanction Russia before March?" is 0% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 0% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump sanction Russia before March?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.