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Mundo·Israel

O Reza Pahlavi vai entrar no Irão até...?

Market icon
Mundo·Israel

O Reza Pahlavi vai entrar no Irão até...?

$11,695,065 Vol.

Apr 30, 2026
Polymarket

$11,695,065 Vol.

Polymarket

31 de março

$7,796,512 Vol.

<1%

30 de abril

$251,961 Vol.

3%

31 de maio

$19,204 Vol.

6%

30 de junho

$2,101,159 Vol.

13%

31 de dezembro

$527,642 Vol.

25%

If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah, has intensified calls for regime change through recent high-profile interviews, stating on March 15 his readiness to lead a transitional government "as soon as the Islamic Republic falls" and expressing willingness to return to Iran immediately upon collapse. These declarations, amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes, U.S. involvement in regional tensions, and persistent domestic protests, have fueled speculation but not materialized into entry plans. The regime retains firm control over borders, airspace, and security apparatus, presenting arrest or worse for unauthorized attempts. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities absent verifiable regime weakening or diplomatic safe passage, with potential catalysts including escalation in Iran-Israel hostilities or leadership vacuums like Supreme Leader Khamenei's health uncertainties.

Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah, has intensified calls for regime change through recent high-profile interviews, stating on March 15 his readiness to lead a transitional government "as soon as the Islamic Republic falls" and expressing willingness to return to Iran immediately upon collapse. These declarations, amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes, U.S. involvement in regional tensions, and persistent domestic protests, have fueled speculation but not materialized into entry plans. The regime retains firm control over borders, airspace, and security apparatus, presenting arrest or worse for unauthorized attempts. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities absent verifiable regime weakening or diplomatic safe passage, with potential catalysts including escalation in Iran-Israel hostilities or leadership vacuums like Supreme Leader Khamenei's health uncertainties.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and June 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and December 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and January 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.If Reza Pahlavi visits Iran between market creation and February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Reza Pahlavi physically entering the terrestrial territory of Iran. Whether or not Reza Pahlavi enters Iranian airspace or maritime territory during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on a positive resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah, has intensified calls for regime change through recent high-profile interviews, stating on March 15 his readiness to lead a transitional government "as soon as the Islamic Republic falls" and expressing willingness to return to Iran immediately upon collapse. These declarations, amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes, U.S. involvement in regional tensions, and persistent domestic protests, have fueled speculation but not materialized into entry plans. The regime retains firm control over borders, airspace, and security apparatus, presenting arrest or worse for unauthorized attempts. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities absent verifiable regime weakening or diplomatic safe passage, with potential catalysts including escalation in Iran-Israel hostilities or leadership vacuums like Supreme Leader Khamenei's health uncertainties.

Exiled Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, son of Iran's last shah, has intensified calls for regime change through recent high-profile interviews, stating on March 15 his readiness to lead a transitional government "as soon as the Islamic Republic falls" and expressing willingness to return to Iran immediately upon collapse. These declarations, amid ongoing Israeli airstrikes, U.S. involvement in regional tensions, and persistent domestic protests, have fueled speculation but not materialized into entry plans. The regime retains firm control over borders, airspace, and security apparatus, presenting arrest or worse for unauthorized attempts. Trader consensus reflects low implied probabilities absent verifiable regime weakening or diplomatic safe passage, with potential catalysts including escalation in Iran-Israel hostilities or leadership vacuums like Supreme Leader Khamenei's health uncertainties.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"O Reza Pahlavi vai entrar no Irão até...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "31 de dezembro" at 25%, followed by "30 de junho" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "O Reza Pahlavi vai entrar no Irão até...?" has generated $11.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jan 3, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "O Reza Pahlavi vai entrar no Irão até...?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "O Reza Pahlavi vai entrar no Irão até...?" is "31 de dezembro" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "30 de junho" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "O Reza Pahlavi vai entrar no Irão até...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.