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Geopolítica·Rússia

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Rússia

Will Putin visit China by May 31?

75% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

$14,983 Vol.

75% acaso
Polymarket
NOVO

$14,983 Vol.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent reports indicate Russian President Vladimir Putin may visit China in late May, shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump's scheduled trip on May 14-15, as dates for Putin's first-half 2026 journey are being finalized following his February acceptance of Chinese President Xi Jinping's invitation during their videoconference. This aligns with deepening bilateral diplomacy amid strategic coordination on global issues like trade, energy, and multipolar order, evidenced by ongoing preparations noted by Russian officials last week. Trader consensus at 75% "Yes" reflects the Kremlin's commitment to high-level exchanges in the first half of the year, though final scheduling and potential geopolitical shifts could still influence the timeline before May 31.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$14,983
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Recent reports indicate Russian President Vladimir Putin may visit China in late May, shortly after U.S. President Donald Trump's scheduled trip on May 14-15, as dates for Putin's first-half 2026 journey are being finalized following his February acceptance of Chinese President Xi Jinping's invitation during their videoconference. This aligns with deepening bilateral diplomacy amid strategic coordination on global issues like trade, energy, and multipolar order, evidenced by ongoing preparations noted by Russian officials last week. Trader consensus at 75% "Yes" reflects the Kremlin's commitment to high-level exchanges in the first half of the year, though final scheduling and potential geopolitical shifts could still influence the timeline before May 31.

If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution.

The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$15,183
Data de Término
31 mai 2026
Mercado Aberto
Apr 1, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
If Vladimir Putin visits China by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, a "visit" is defined as Putin physically entering the terrestrial or maritime territory of China. Whether or not Putin enters Chinese airspace during the timeframe of this market will have no bearing on this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this information will be official information from Vladimir Putin, the Federal Government of Russia, and the Chinese government; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Putin visit China by May 31?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 75% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 75¢, the market collectively assigns a 75% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Putin visit China by May 31?" has generated $15K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 1, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Putin visit China by May 31?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Putin visit China by May 31?" is 75% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 75% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Putin visit China by May 31?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.