Market icon

Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?

Market icon

Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$12,634 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$12,634 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No".

A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement.

The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,634
Data de Término
Sep 7, 2025
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2025, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado proposto: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Contestado

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado final: Yes

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No".

A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement.

The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$12,634
Data de Término
Sep 7, 2025
Mercado Aberto
Aug 8, 2025, 6:45 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if OPEC or OPEC+ officially announces a new group-level crude oil production hike that is additional to all production hikes publicly agreed to by or on the time the September 2025 OPEC+ meeting release is published. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The next OPEC+ meeting where production levels are to be set is scheduled to take place on September 7 (https://www.opec.org/pr-detail/1518572-03-august-2025.html). If that September 7, 2025 ET meeting passes, the release is published, and no rate hike occurs, this market will resolve to "No". If no release is published by the time of the next OPEC+ meeting, this market will resolve to "No". A "new group-level crude oil production hike" means an increase in crude oil production that is clearly presented as a new, collective action by OPEC or OPEC+ as a whole, not just an extension, reaffirmation, technical adjustment, or voluntary action by individual members or subgroups. Conditional hikes only count if the group explicitly agrees to reduce production and specifies the conditions and volume in the September 2025 announcement. The primary resolution source will be official OPEC or OPEC+ communications, however a clear consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Resultado proposto: Yes 0.50, No 0.50

Contestado

Resultado proposto: Yes

Contestado

Resultado final: Yes

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?" has generated $12.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 8, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will OPEC hike production by next meeting?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.