Trader consensus reflects near-certain "No" at 95.5% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, anchored by the absence of any official appointment amid her informal advisory role—highlighted by White House visits in early March 2026 for Iran policy talks following Operation Epic Fury and an NCAA roundtable where Trump praised her. With 15 months post-inauguration, key cabinet slots like Secretary of State filled early by others, Rice's commitments as Hoover Institution director at Stanford, her age (71), and no recent signals of transition sustain this lopsided trader sentiment despite her vocal support for Trump's Middle East strikes. A sudden high-level vacancy or eleventh-hour nomination could theoretically shift odds, but such Hail Mary scenarios appear remote with under four weeks remaining.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoNOVO
NOVO
30 abr 2026
NOVO
NOVO
30 abr 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certain "No" at 95.5% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, anchored by the absence of any official appointment amid her informal advisory role—highlighted by White House visits in early March 2026 for Iran policy talks following Operation Epic Fury and an NCAA roundtable where Trump praised her. With 15 months post-inauguration, key cabinet slots like Secretary of State filled early by others, Rice's commitments as Hoover Institution director at Stanford, her age (71), and no recent signals of transition sustain this lopsided trader sentiment despite her vocal support for Trump's Middle East strikes. A sudden high-level vacancy or eleventh-hour nomination could theoretically shift odds, but such Hail Mary scenarios appear remote with under four weeks remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ET
Volume
$1,636Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus reflects near-certain "No" at 95.5% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, anchored by the absence of any official appointment amid her informal advisory role—highlighted by White House visits in early March 2026 for Iran policy talks following Operation Epic Fury and an NCAA roundtable where Trump praised her. With 15 months post-inauguration, key cabinet slots like Secretary of State filled early by others, Rice's commitments as Hoover Institution director at Stanford, her age (71), and no recent signals of transition sustain this lopsided trader sentiment despite her vocal support for Trump's Middle East strikes. A sudden high-level vacancy or eleventh-hour nomination could theoretically shift odds, but such Hail Mary scenarios appear remote with under four weeks remaining.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump officially nominates or appoints Condoleezza Rice to his administration between market creation and April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed or nominated by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.
Nominations will qualify even if the individual is not confirmed.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,636Data de Término
30 abr 2026Mercado Aberto
Mar 11, 2026, 1:47 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus reflects near-certain "No" at 95.5% implied probability for Condoleezza Rice joining the Trump administration by April 30, anchored by the absence of any official appointment amid her informal advisory role—highlighted by White House visits in early March 2026 for Iran policy talks following Operation Epic Fury and an NCAA roundtable where Trump praised her. With 15 months post-inauguration, key cabinet slots like Secretary of State filled early by others, Rice's commitments as Hoover Institution director at Stanford, her age (71), and no recent signals of transition sustain this lopsided trader sentiment despite her vocal support for Trump's Middle East strikes. A sudden high-level vacancy or eleventh-hour nomination could theoretically shift odds, but such Hail Mary scenarios appear remote with under four weeks remaining.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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