Name: Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?
Start: 2025-12-12T21:56:05.718403Z
End: 2026-01-31T00:00:00Z

Use the internal polymarket geolocation service.

poly_geo

Improved notification preferences and types.

notifications_v2

funkit_deposit

funkit_withdraw

authenticated_book_ws

Improved in-game view for sports markets.

mobile_sports_overlay_v2

async_order_submission

Enable updates from the sports websocket.

sports_websocket

Show/hide language selector in navigation

language_selector

Auto-detect and redirect based on browser language

auto_locale_detection

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between January 1 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Kim Jong Un

Xi Jinping

MrBeast

Papa Leão XIV

Ursula von der Leyen

Friedrich Merz

Emmanuel Macron

Satya Nadella

Jerome Powell

Volodymyr Zelenskyy

Mohammed bin Salman

Vladimir Putin

Nicolás Maduro

Kaja Kallas

Keir Starmer

Giorgia Meloni

Jensen Huang

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between January 6 and January 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

María Corina Machado

Conversa Trump mensal

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between September 1 and September 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Who will Trump talk to in September?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between October 6 and October 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Who will Trump talk to in October?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between November 1 and November 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Who will Trump talk to in November?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between December 1 and December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Com quem Trump falará em dezembro?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual talks with Donald Trump between Februrary 1 and Februrary 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

A talk is defined as any interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Who will Trump talk to in Februrary?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the price of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) increases by at least the listed percentage on any single trading day between January 14 and March 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on a given trading day will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on that day to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the previous trading day, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The previous day’s closing price will be subtracted from the current day’s closing price, and then that difference will be divided by the previous day’s closing price. If the daily percentage change is negative, it will be considered a loss of that percentage in absolute terms.

Daily percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a daily percentage gain of 1.995% would be considered 2.00%, and a daily percentage gain of 1.993% would be considered 1.99%)

If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price.

The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

O índice S&P 500 ganhará pelo menos 2% em qualquer dia do 1º trimestre?

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the first quarter of 2026 (January 1 - March 31). 

The percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the specified quarter will be calculated by comparing the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) for the final trading day of the quarter to the official closing price for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) for the final trading day of the previous quarter, as reported by the Wall Street Journal. The closing price for the final trading day of the previous quarter will be subtracted from the closing price for the final trading day of the specified quarter, and then that difference will be divided by the closing price for the final trading day of the previous quarter.

Percentage changes will be rounded to two decimal places away from zero (e.g. a percentage change of 4.995% would be considered 5.00%, and a percentage change of 4.993% would be considered 4.99%)

If any relevant trading day is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution.

If no official closing price is published for a relevant trading day (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, or other disruption), this market will use the most recent official price published by the specified resolution source as the effective closing price.

If the percentage change in the S&P 500 Index (SPX) in the first quarter of 2026 falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Wall Street Journal, specifically the daily CLOSE prices for the S&P 500 Index (SPX) published on the S&P 500 Index (SPX) historical prices page (https://www.wsj.com/market-data/quotes/index/SPX/historical-prices).

A variação percentual do S&P 500 no 1º trimestre de 2026 será inferior a 0%?

As of market creation, Qualcomm is estimated to release earnings on February 4, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Qualcomm’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $3.39 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Qualcomm reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $3.39 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Qualcomm releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


A Qualcomm (QCOM) vai superar os lucros trimestrais?

As of market creation, Fox Corp is estimated to release earnings on February 3, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Fox Corp’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $0.51 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Fox Corp reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $0.51 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. 

If Fox Corp releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.)

If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” 

Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024).
Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS.
Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding.
Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS.
Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify.
Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated.
Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.


A Fox Corp (FOXA) vai superar os lucros trimestrais?

This market will resolve based on OpenAI's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO by December 31, 2026".

Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on OpenAI’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.

OpenAI não fará OPI até 31 de dezembro de 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the official closing price for SpaceX’s market capitalization on its first trading day is above the value specified in the title. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.

If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

Market capitalization is defined as the total number of outstanding shares multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.

Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.

In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading.

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Satya Nadella
$4,191 Vol.
97%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$84,144 Vol.
94%

Emmanuel Macron
$29,525 Vol.
72%

Friedrich Merz
$6,504 Vol.
70%

Ursula von der Leyen
$5,901 Vol.
45%

Vladimir Putin
$17,622 Vol.
42%

Papa Leão XIV
$1,573 Vol.
18%

Xi Jinping
$5,539 Vol.
17%

Kaja Kallas
$2,410 Vol.
17%

Jerome Powell
$2,074 Vol.
13%

Kim Jong Un
$5,185 Vol.
7%

MrBeast
$4,220 Vol.
4%

Nicolás Maduro
$53,283 Vol.
2%

Contexto do Mercado

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Regras

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Contexto do Mercado

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Sobre

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Satya Nadella$4,191 Vol.97%Comprar Sim99.0¢Comprar Não4.6¢

Volodymyr Zelenskyy$84,144 Vol.94%Comprar Sim95.3¢Comprar Não6.7¢

Emmanuel Macron$29,525 Vol.72%Comprar Sim75¢Comprar Não32¢

Friedrich Merz$6,504 Vol.70%Comprar Sim72¢Comprar Não32¢

Ursula von der Leyen$5,901 Vol.45%Comprar Sim49.1¢Comprar Não59.9¢

Vladimir Putin$17,622 Vol.42%Comprar Sim44¢Comprar Não61¢

Papa Leão XIV$1,573 Vol.18%Comprar Sim30.4¢Comprar Não94.8¢

Xi Jinping$5,539 Vol.17%Comprar Sim20¢Comprar Não87¢

Kaja Kallas$2,410 Vol.17%Comprar Sim19¢Comprar Não86¢

Jerome Powell$2,074 Vol.13%Comprar Sim13¢Comprar Não88¢

Kim Jong Un$5,185 Vol.7%Comprar Sim10.0¢Comprar Não95.8¢

MrBeast$4,220 Vol.4%Comprar Sim4.9¢Comprar Não97.7¢

Nicolás Maduro$53,283 Vol.2%Comprar Sim1.6¢Comprar Não98.6¢

Contexto do Mercado

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Regras

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Contexto do Mercado

Com quem Trump vai falar em janeiro?

Sobre

Satya Nadella
$4,191 Vol.
97%

Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$84,144 Vol.
94%

Emmanuel Macron
$29,525 Vol.
72%

Friedrich Merz
$6,504 Vol.
70%

Ursula von der Leyen
$5,901 Vol.
45%

Vladimir Putin
$17,622 Vol.
42%

Papa Leão XIV
$1,573 Vol.
18%

Xi Jinping
$5,539 Vol.
17%

Kaja Kallas
$2,410 Vol.
17%

Jerome Powell
$2,074 Vol.
13%

Kim Jong Un
$5,185 Vol.
7%

MrBeast
$4,220 Vol.
4%

Nicolás Maduro
$53,283 Vol.
2%