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Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

Market icon

Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?

dez 31

dez 31

$355,918 Vol.

31 dez 2026
Polymarket

$355,918 Vol.

Polymarket

Kuwait

$1,257 Vol.

27%

Somalilândia

$44,926 Vol.

26%

Arábia Saudita

$64,009 Vol.

25%

Síria

$110,487 Vol.

23%

Líbano

$5,765 Vol.

23%

Azerbaijão

$28,616 Vol.

25%

Omã

$100,859 Vol.

18%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in November 2025 marked the first expansion since the original 2020 agreements with the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, setting a precedent amid renewed Trump administration diplomacy. Recent trader consensus favors Kuwait at 27% and Somaliland at 26% implied probability, driven by Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland—which prompted a pledge to join—and longstanding Israel-Azerbaijan ties under negotiation for inclusion. Saudi Arabia sits at 25%, boosted by President Trump's March 2026 public urging during heightened Iran tensions, alongside a Senate bill enhancing Accords defense cooperation. Oman and post-conflict Syria/Lebanon trail, with odds reflecting uncertainty over Palestinian progress and regional escalations before the December 2026 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$355,918
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in November 2025 marked the first expansion since the original 2020 agreements with the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, setting a precedent amid renewed Trump administration diplomacy. Recent trader consensus favors Kuwait at 27% and Somaliland at 26% implied probability, driven by Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland—which prompted a pledge to join—and longstanding Israel-Azerbaijan ties under negotiation for inclusion. Saudi Arabia sits at 25%, boosted by President Trump's March 2026 public urging during heightened Iran tensions, alongside a Senate bill enhancing Accords defense cooperation. Oman and post-conflict Syria/Lebanon trail, with odds reflecting uncertainty over Palestinian progress and regional escalations before the December 2026 deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$355,918
Data de Término
31 dez 2026
Mercado Aberto
Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado com os links externos.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Kuwait" at 27%, followed by "Somalilândia" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 27¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" has generated $355.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" is "Kuwait" at 27%, meaning the market assigns a 27% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Somalilândia" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.