Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in November 2025 marked the first expansion since the original 2020 agreements with the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, setting a precedent amid renewed Trump administration diplomacy. Recent trader consensus favors Kuwait at 27% and Somaliland at 26% implied probability, driven by Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland—which prompted a pledge to join—and longstanding Israel-Azerbaijan ties under negotiation for inclusion. Saudi Arabia sits at 25%, boosted by President Trump's March 2026 public urging during heightened Iran tensions, alongside a Senate bill enhancing Accords defense cooperation. Oman and post-conflict Syria/Lebanon trail, with odds reflecting uncertainty over Palestinian progress and regional escalations before the December 2026 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · AtualizadoQual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?
Qual país se juntará aos Acordos de Abraão antes de 2027?
$355,918 Vol.
Kuwait
27%
Somalilândia
26%
Arábia Saudita
25%
Síria
23%
Líbano
23%
Azerbaijão
25%
Omã
18%
$355,918 Vol.
Kuwait
27%
Somalilândia
26%
Arábia Saudita
25%
Síria
23%
Líbano
23%
Azerbaijão
25%
Omã
18%
A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 31, 2025, 4:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.
The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Kazakhstan's formal entry into the Abraham Accords in November 2025 marked the first expansion since the original 2020 agreements with the UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco, setting a precedent amid renewed Trump administration diplomacy. Recent trader consensus favors Kuwait at 27% and Somaliland at 26% implied probability, driven by Israel's December 2025 recognition of Somaliland—which prompted a pledge to join—and longstanding Israel-Azerbaijan ties under negotiation for inclusion. Saudi Arabia sits at 25%, boosted by President Trump's March 2026 public urging during heightened Iran tensions, alongside a Senate bill enhancing Accords defense cooperation. Oman and post-conflict Syria/Lebanon trail, with odds reflecting uncertainty over Palestinian progress and regional escalations before the December 2026 deadline.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
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