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Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

Market icon
Geopolítica·Israel

Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?

$87,689 Vol.

Jun 30, 2026
Polymarket

$87,689 Vol.

Polymarket
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Coreia do Norte

$0 Vol.

4%

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Cuba

$0 Vol.

6%

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Arábia Saudita

$3,350 Vol.

10%

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Líbano

$0 Vol.

6%

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Afeganistão

$0 Vol.

6%

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Iraque

$0 Vol.

5%

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Paquistão

$0 Vol.

7%

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Síria

$4,318 Vol.

9%

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Venezuela

$80,020 Vol.

9%

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Tunísia

$0 Vol.

11%

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Kuwait

$0 Vol.

10%

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Catar

$0 Vol.

8%

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Indonésia

$0 Vol.

7%

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Malásia

$0 Vol.

4%

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Bangladesh

$0 Vol.

10%

This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains frozen amid the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, which erupted over nine months ago and has intensified with recent Rafah operations and ceasefire talks stalling, deterring potential recognizers from Arab and Muslim-majority holdouts like Saudi Arabia, Oman, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Malaysia. No countries have announced recognition intentions in the past 30 days, extending the post-Abraham Accords momentum halt that saw UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco normalize ties in 2020. With the June 30 deadline approaching and no scheduled diplomatic summits or breakthroughs signaled, traders see slim odds for new recognitions barring a major de-escalation or U.S.-brokered deal, as 165 UN members already maintain relations.

Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains frozen amid the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, which erupted over nine months ago and has intensified with recent Rafah operations and ceasefire talks stalling, deterring potential recognizers from Arab and Muslim-majority holdouts like Saudi Arabia, Oman, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Malaysia. No countries have announced recognition intentions in the past 30 days, extending the post-Abraham Accords momentum halt that saw UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco normalize ties in 2020. With the June 30 deadline approaching and no scheduled diplomatic summits or breakthroughs signaled, traders see slim odds for new recognitions barring a major de-escalation or U.S.-brokered deal, as 165 UN members already maintain relations.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado
This market will resolve based on the countries that officially recognize Israel as a state between November 20, 2025 and June 30, 2026, 11:59pm ET. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains frozen amid the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, which erupted over nine months ago and has intensified with recent Rafah operations and ceasefire talks stalling, deterring potential recognizers from Arab and Muslim-majority holdouts like Saudi Arabia, Oman, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Malaysia. No countries have announced recognition intentions in the past 30 days, extending the post-Abraham Accords momentum halt that saw UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco normalize ties in 2020. With the June 30 deadline approaching and no scheduled diplomatic summits or breakthroughs signaled, traders see slim odds for new recognitions barring a major de-escalation or U.S.-brokered deal, as 165 UN members already maintain relations.

Diplomatic normalization with Israel remains frozen amid the Israel-Hamas war in Gaza, which erupted over nine months ago and has intensified with recent Rafah operations and ceasefire talks stalling, deterring potential recognizers from Arab and Muslim-majority holdouts like Saudi Arabia, Oman, Indonesia, Pakistan, and Malaysia. No countries have announced recognition intentions in the past 30 days, extending the post-Abraham Accords momentum halt that saw UAE, Bahrain, Sudan, and Morocco normalize ties in 2020. With the June 30 deadline approaching and no scheduled diplomatic summits or breakthroughs signaled, traders see slim odds for new recognitions barring a major de-escalation or U.S.-brokered deal, as 165 UN members already maintain relations.

Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket · Atualizado

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tunísia" at 11%, followed by "Arábia Saudita" at 10%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 11¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" has generated $87.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 20, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" is "Tunísia" at 11%, meaning the market assigns a 11% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Arábia Saudita" at 10%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quais países reconhecerão Israel até 30 de junho?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.